422
FXUS64 KHUN 121147
AFDHUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
547 AM CST Wed Nov 12 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 340 AM CST Wed Nov 12 2025

 - Warming temperatures through late week and into the weekend.

 - Some rainfall could return late Sunday night into early next
   week, but there is a medium chance of heavy rainfall by
   midweek.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Today)
Issued at 340 AM CST Wed Nov 12 2025

Tranquil weather across the Tennessee Valley early this morning
with high pressure at the surface over the Deep South in control.
This feature will promote a mostly clear/dry day, with plenty of
sunshine. The combination of this ample sunshine and southerly
flow around the western edge of this ridge, will help warm
temperatures back into the low to mid 60s by this afternoon. A
welcome warm-up after some of the very cold air we experienced
earlier in the week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Wednesday Night through Friday Night)
Issued at 912 PM CST Tue Nov 11 2025

The aforementioned upper ridge looks to slowly build over the
region through late week. Although, a very subtle impulse is shown
to traverse the outer portion of the ridge over the Mississippi
Valley and down into the Tennessee Valley on Thursday. This
feature isn`t expected to bring much moisture, but will bring an
increase in clouds for Thursday. Additionally, surface high
pressure will dominate the Southeast for much of the week, but
begin to shift east slightly as a system develops over the western
CONUS. This will result in an increase in moisture for the
Tennessee Valley on Friday and into the weekend.

Overall, no rain is forecast through Friday night, but a warming
trend is expected through the week. Highs are forecast to increase
from the lower/mid 60s on Wednesday into the lower to mid 70s by
Friday. Lows follow a similar pattern, warming into the 50s for
much of the local area by Friday night.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 912 PM CST Tue Nov 11 2025

This weekend will start out with a busy upper level pattern.
There`s a trough off the southern part of the West Coast, another
one up in south central Canada and a third trough still anchored
in far Northeast U.S/eastern Quebec, with a ridge underneath it
all.

High pressure will keep us dry and warm on Saturday with breezy
southwesterly winds and partly cloudy skies pushing daytime highs
to unseasonably warm values in the low to mid 70s. On Sunday, the
trough in south central Canada will overcome the ridge and try to
phase in with the stubborn trough near Quebec. Its associated sfc
low in the Great Lakes will have a trailing cold front through the
OH Valley, the Mid MS Valley and into the Southern Plains. Right
now, looks like low chances of precip return Sunday night with
low/medium chances on Monday and Tuesday as the cold front gets
hung up on the OH Valley to Mid MS Valley. The question is on
exactly where that front will get held up which will affect our
precip chances. One feature that will effect the front`s location
is the now cut off low that lifts out of the Four Corners and into
the Plains on Monday. After that, there is a lot of model
disagreement on location, intensity and timing so have low
confidence for Tuesday. Regardless, looks like temps will be in
the upper 60s early next week with low/medium chances for precip,
but stay tuned for additional forecast updates.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 547 AM CST Wed Nov 12 2025

VFR conditions will prevail at each terminal through the period
under a mostly clear sky. Winds may become gusty again out of the
SW between 10-20 kts, before becoming nearly calm after sunset.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 455 PM CST Tue Nov 11 2025

Moderate Risk for Much Above Normal Precipitation:

The Climate Prediction Center has included much of north Alabama
and southern middle Tennessee in a Moderate Risk for Much Above
Normal Precipitation for November 19-20th. Precipitation exceeding
1-2 inches is possible during this period.

More information on the CPC U.S. Hazards Outlook can be found at:
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats.php

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...AMP
SHORT TERM....26
LONG TERM....JMS
AVIATION...AMP.24