


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL
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967 FXUS64 KHUN 261926 AFDHUN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Huntsville AL 226 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 ...New NEAR TERM... .NEAR TERM... (Tonight) Issued at 226 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 A cold front was located in southern TN and will push south through the TN valley during the next couple of hours. SBCAPE values of 500-1500 j/kg is helping to generate a isolated SHRA in north AL. These will slide south of the area early this evening and a dry overnight is forecast. Clouds should also tend to dissipate as well as drier air and north flow develops behind the front. Overnight lows should drop into the lower to middle 50s. && .SHORT TERM... (Sunday and Sunday Night) Issued at 1000 AM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 An MCS originating in the central and southern Plains today will be moving east through MO and AR Sunday morning. This system will enter western KY and TN during the afternoon, but is not expected to reach north AL or southern middle TN. Mid and high clouds may tend to spill over into the area however, keeping high temperatures in the mid 70s to around 80. The cold front that moves through today will orient itself more south to north across our eastern counties late Sunday into Sunday night as high pressure wedges west through the Carolinas into Georgia. This will divide dew points in the 50s east to the lower 60s west. Shower chances appear to remain below 15% for our eastern counties through Sunday night. && .LONG TERM... (Monday through Friday) Issued at 858 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 With the frontal boundary still in the area, any overrunning/isentropic ascent may tend to redevelop rainfall northeast of the boundary. This may happen on Monday and again on Tuesday in our eastern counties as the 5h ridge breaks down just a bit. PoPs will remain low these days. However, PoPs will be low to perhaps medium on Wednesday into Wednesday night as yet another shortwave zips ahead of the a stronger Plains trough. However, the surface warm front may lift north keeping the vast majority of the activity to our north. But by Thursday into Thursday night, the main trough and associated cold front arrive, with medium if not high shower and thunderstorm chances. Temperatures warm into the middle 80s Thursday afternoon and bulk shear look to be more sufficient to support stronger storms. Its still several days out so we will monitor run to run trends in coming days. Cooler and drier air will follow the frontal passage on Friday with highs in the upper 70s to around 80. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1135 AM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 VFR flight weather conditions are forecast. Ceilings above 030agl will dissipate by around 00Z. Mid and high level ceilings will overspread the region late Sunday morning after 14Z. && .HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. TN...None. && $$ NEAR TERM...17 SHORT TERM....17 LONG TERM....17 AVIATION...17