Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Joaquin Valley, CA
Issued by NWS San Joaquin Valley, CA
483 FXUS66 KHNX 031006 AFDHNX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hanford CA 206 AM PST Mon Nov 3 2025 && .KEY MESSAGES... 1. Areas of dense fog this morning along Highway 99 from Madera County to Kings and Tulare County. 2. Slight warmup today before cooling down on Tuesday. 3. System approaches the region this Wednesday bringing valley rain, mountain snow, and increased gusts in the desert areas. 4. Temperatures remain around the same Wednesday into Saturday before a warmup on Sunday. && .DISCUSSION... Foggy conditions greet us this morning as a ridge of high pressure sits over the area. Temperatures warm up this afternoon compared to yesterday. There is a 15 to 25 percent chance of a high of at least 80 for most of the Valley but Bakersfield has a 60 percent chance of at least 80 degrees. The ridge slides away on a Tuesday as the next system makes it way towards California by Wednesday. This latest system brings a 60 to 70 percent chance of a tenth of an inch of rain in Merced and Mariposa counties but a 10 to 25 percent chance of a tenth of rain or more for the rest of the Valley on Wednesday. Snow levels with this system are expected at 7500-8000`, but with the moisture with it focusing on the northern portion of our CWA, snowfall probilities are at their greatest in and around Yosemite National Park. There is a 70 to 90 percent probability for 1 inch or more of snowfall over 24 hours ending Thursday morning for these areas, but falling to 30 to 40 percent in the Sierra Nevada in Fresno County. Winds also will pick up in the higher elevations of the Sierra Nevada and in eastern Kern County. There is a 60 to 80 percent chance of wind gusts of at least 40 mph along the Mojave Slopes and Highway 14 on Wednesday into Thursday morning and a 50 to 60 percent chance of 40 mph gusts on Wednesday in the higher elevations of the Sierra Nevada above 8,000 feet. Winds decrease on Thursday along with temperatures remaining persistently in the low 70s with dry conditions into the weekend. Sunday brings a warmup with a 5 to 35 percent chance of highs rebounding to at least 80 degrees. && .AVIATION... LIFR to IFR conditions expected at KVIS and in patches through 17Z. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail for the area from 18Z through 9Z Tuesday. && .AIR QUALITY ISSUES... On Monday November 3 2025, No Burning Unless Registered in Fresno, Kern, Madera, and Tulare Counties. Burning Discouraged in Kings and Merced Counties, and Kern (Greater Frazier Park Area) and Sequoia National Park and Forest. && .CERTAINTY... The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high. The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium. Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information and/or to provide feedback. && .HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM PST this morning for CAZ302-306- 311. && $$ JPK weather.gov/hanford