742
FXUS66 KHNX 081013
AFDHNX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hanford CA
210 AM PST Fri Nov 8 2024

CORRECTED

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1. There is a 65 to 95 percent chance of a high temperature of
at least 70 degrees through Monday before being near 0 on
Tuesday. The probabilities climb back up to 20 to 50 percent for
Wednesday and Thursday

2. There is a 25 to 40 percent chance of a tenth of an inch of
rain or more on Monday into Tuesday for the San Joaquin Valley.

3. There is a 25 to 45 percent probability of 3 inches of snow or
more above 5,500 feet on Monday into Tuesday with higher values near
Yosemite.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Currently we have a ridge of high pressure dominating the area
with the trough that brought strong winds to eastern Kern County
still slowly moving out and weakening. This ridge has helped
keep temperatures seasonable. However, model ensembles have a
strong agreement that the first of two trough starts moving in
on Sunday and Monday as the ridge weakens and moves east.

This first trough will bring a few changes to the area. Latest
probabilities show a drop from a 65 to 95 percent chance of 70
degrees or higher through Monday before dropping to near zero on
Tuesday. In addition to the cooler temperatures, this trough
brings a 25 to 40 percent chance of a tenth of an inch or more
of rain to the San Joaquin Valley and a 25 to 45 percent
probability of 3 inches or more above 5,500 feet in the Sierra
Nevada. However, models have had shifted the moisture to the
north gradually leading to the amount of rain and snow to
decrease. Winds also will pick up in eastern Kern County due to
the trough that a wind product may be issued at a later time.

After this first trough moves out, a weak ridge will build in
bringing a rebound in temperatures. Latest probabilities have a
20 to 50 percent chance of high temperatures of at least 70
degrees on Wednesday and Thursday. A second trough starts moving
in late Thursday into Friday. This second trough brings better
chances of precipitation and a 80 percent and higher chance of
high temperatures of 70 degrees or below. This bodes well with
the CPC`s 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks having a 40 to 50 percent
chance of above average precipitation and a 40 to 60 percent
chance of below average temperatures.

&&


.AVIATION...
12Z Update

VFR conditions will prevail across the central CA
interior for the next 24 hours.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ISSUED:  11/07/2024 14:38
EXPIRES: 11/08/2024 23:59
On Friday November 8 2024, Fireplace/Wood Stove Burning Status is:
No Burning Unless Registered in Fresno, Kern, Kings, Madera, and
Tulare Counties. Burning Discouraged in Merced County, and Kern
(Greater Frazier Park Area) and Sequoia National Park and
Forest.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.

Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit
www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information
and/or to provide feedback.

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Public/Aviation...JPK
IDSS/PIO...CM

weather.gov/hanford