Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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709 FXHW01 KWNH 170935 PMDHI Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 535 AM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026 Valid 00Z Tue 18 Aug 2026 - 00Z Tue 25 Aug 2026 Tropical cyclone Lala continues to move away from the islands, with impacts diminishing. In its wake a more normal trade pattern will take over, with the typical windward shower activity. Moisture will remain a bit elevated in the wake of Lala, so trade showers could be slightly enhanced compared to average. NHC is tracking another tropical wave well southeast of the islands, with a 50% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone as of early Monday. This wave will track westward, with most model and ensemble solutions keeping it south of the islands this weekend into early next week. Trends will continue to be monitored over the coming days, with some increase in moisture and rainfall a possibility as the system tracks to the south. Chenard $$