Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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610 FXHW01 KWNH 190659 PMDHI Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 258 AM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024 Valid 00Z Sun Oct 20 2024 - 00Z Sun Oct 27 2024 The Hawaii domain will be under an upper level high this weekend, and this should break down going into early next week. An upper low slowly approaches the far northwestern Islands through the middle of the week, and a second closed low develops well to the northeast of the state. The ensemble means suggest that both of these lows should remain well away from the main Islands through the upcoming week. Trade wind flow should generally be from the east most days, and since the main surface high and its stronger pressure gradient should be well north of the state, winds should be light to moderate most days. In terms of precipitation prospects, no major rainfall events appear likely over the next 7 days, with good overall agreement between the GFS and ECMWF on this scenario. Hamrick $$