Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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FXHW01 KWNH 100637
PMDHI

Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
237 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025

Valid 00Z Sat 11 Oct 2025 - 00Z Sat 18 Oct 2025


Model and ensemble solutions seem reasonably well clustered,
bolstering overall forecast confidence. Expect land/sea breeze
conditions today with scattered showers focusing over those
convergence areas under a favorable weakness aloft and moisture.
Winds should back to a more typical and light easterly trade
direction this weekend. An upper low is forecast to dig south to
the state early next week and then linger into later next week.
This would act to further pool moisture as winds respond/shift
southeastward. A rising inversion and increasing lift should
further yield increased rain/downpour chances in a wet period.


Schichtel


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