Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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626 FXHW01 KWNH 220746 PMDHI Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 246 AM EST Fri Nov 22 2024 Valid 00Z Sat Nov 23 2024 - 00Z Sat Nov 30 2024 A surface ridge of high pressure stretching west to east across Hawaii will lead to dry conditions, with precipitable water values generally below an inch and dewpoints into the 60s, and few if any showers. The ridge will also promote decreasing trades through Friday with a land/sea breeze pattern likely by Saturday. These dry conditions with light winds are forecast to last through much of the weekend. There is some signal for a weak front to approach the state late Sunday into Monday, and another around Tuesday. Some weak moisture convergence along/ahead of the fronts and moistening PWs could lead to a few more showers, but with no widespread heavy amounts. Winds should also shift to be from the north behind the fronts, but likely remaining on the weak side. By the latter half of next week winds are forecast to turn back to the more typical easterly direction and become a bit breezier as a weak surface ridge sets up to the north. Tate $$