993
FXUS64 KHGX 070458
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1158 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

...New LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday Night)
Issued at 110 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

Mid-level ridge will continue to be the most dominant feature for
the rest of today into Saturday. Although the ridge will limit our
rain activity for much of Southeast TX, we could still see some
isolated showers and possibly an isolated thunderstorm this
afternoon, mainly along the coastal areas and for locations near the
Galveston Bay region as we continue to heat up. Persistent onshore
flow will continue to supply moisture from the Gulf and lead to Heat
indices in the lower 100s this afternoon. Although these values are
not yet within the Heat Advisory criteria, these temperatures can
still lead to heat-related illnesses or injuries. Thus, continue to
practice heat safety. If outdoors, stay hydrated, take plenty of
breaks, limit the time spent outdoors, limit sun exposure, and wear
appropriate clothing. Never leave children and pets unattended in
vehicles.

For tonight, we will start off with mostly clear to partly cloudy
skies. As the night progresses, skies will become partly cloudy to
cloudy. We may see some streamer showers during the overnight to
early morning hours, mainly over the Gulf waters and the coastal
locations, but accumulations will be minimal. Unfortunately, we wont
have much relief from the warm and humid feels tonight, as low
temperatures only dip into the mid to upper 70s for much of the area
while dewpoints range a couple of degrees lower than the lows.

Conditions heat up a little more on Saturday, with high temperatures
in the mid to upper 90s for areas north of I-10, the lower to mid
90s for areas along and south of I-10, and the upper 80s to lower
90s along the coast. Heat indices are expected to range between 102-
106 deg F and can once again pose a heath risk for vulnerable
populations as well as for those planning to spend long periods of
time outdoors. The one good thing about Saturday is that we can
anticipate somewhat breezy conditions as the pressure gradient
tightens and a 25-30KT low level jet develops overhead. This will
help a bit, however, make sure you are taking the necessary
precautions during your time outdoors.

Cotto

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through next Friday)
Issued at 1157 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

Mid-upper ridging that brought us the hot conditions will
gradually be suppressed to the s/sw as a larger trof dips further
swd into the Midwest/Great Lakes/ MS Valley area early next week.
Shower and tstm chances will gradually increase heading into the
early and midweek time period due to the combination of
prevailing moist onshore flow, less subsidence, daytime heating,
and the ability for some intermittent upper disturbances and/or
outflows from storms to our n/nw to make their way into the area.
And with the increased cloud cover and rain chances should lead to
temps lowering a bit closer to seasonable norms.

During the mid and late work week, we should see another mid level
trof take shape across West Texas and slowly track ene across the
Southern Plains which should allow chances for daily showers/tstms
to continue. 47

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1157 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

Most locations are starting out with VFR conditions, though there
are a few spots reporting 4-6sm vsbys in haze. Anticipate that
we`ll see some MVFR cigs take shape across parts of the area later
tonight into mid morning Saturday...with better chances more
prevalent generally north of the metro area. Otherwise, look for
VFR conditions along with some haze conditions during the day.
Though a very short lived, an isolated shra or two can`t
completely be ruled out, they`re not worth mentioning in the
TAFs. 47

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1157 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

Fairly typical summer time pattern is anticipated for the next
several days with a prevailing onshore flow. Speeds should
typically be highest (14-17kt) at night in the Gulf and during the
afternoon/evening in the bays. Seas will mostly be in the 3-5ft
range. 47

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)  76  95  76  97 /  10  10  10   0
Houston (IAH)  78  95  78  97 /  10  10   0   0
Galveston (GLS)  82  89  82  88 /  20  20  20   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$