505
FXUS64 KHGX 310955
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
355 AM CST Fri Jan 31 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday Night)
Issued at 354 AM CST Fri Jan 31 2025

Northwesterly to northerly flow will keep highs in the 60s to near
70 degrees today. A closed low at the 500 mb level will move east
across the Plains today, with a vort max cutting across SE Texas as
it does so. This will result in mid to upper level cloud cover
through much of the day, clearing out from NW to SE later this
afternoon into the evening hours. Clear skies will prevail overnight
and enhance radiational cooling. This will allow lows to dip into
the 40s area wide, with a few locations in the northern Piney Woods
touching the upper 30s.

Winds will take a more southerly component in the lower levels going
into Saturday, making highs a few degrees warmer. Temperatures
across the area will top out in the upper 60s to low 70s under
mostly sunny to sunny skies. Lows will be a touch warmer on Saturday
night. Inland areas will be in the 40s with the coast in the low
50s.  Adams

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Thursday)
Issued at 354 AM CST Fri Jan 31 2025

Surface high pressure should be situated to our east by Sunday.
With the return se/s winds off the Gulf, look for a warming trend
to ensue heading into next week. Expecting overnight lows in the
60s and daytime highs close to the 80F mark inland for a good part
of next week. Closer to the coast, sea fog is looking like it
might be a daily issue, so clouds/fog/lower water temps will
probably maintain highs 66-72F closer to the beaches. Though one
cannot rule out an isolated stray shower or two toward midweek,
there`s really not much in the way of forcing mechanisms (wx
systems/fronts) for a clear cut trigger at least through Thursday.
A mix of guidance suggests the next front makes its way into the
area late Thursday night or Friday, while others suggest not until
later in the weekend. 47


.AVIATION...
(06Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1100 PM CST Thu Jan 30 2025

Light west-northwesterly winds and clearing skies will continue
through daybreak with most sites staying in VFR. The one exception
is CXO where light winds, moist soils, and clearing skies has led
to the development of some patchy, but dense, fog. This fog may
expand to include UTS, but coverage is expected to be limited and
any fog that develops will dissipate shortly after sunrise. Breezy
northwesterly winds develop by the late morning and continue
through the afternoon with sustained winds of 8-12kt and gusts to
near 20kt. Winds relax by sunset with another night of
light/variable winds expected.

Fowler

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 354 AM CST Fri Jan 31 2025

A remnant 7ft SE swell is still showing at buoy 42019 offshore.
It`s on a gradual downward trend, but will extend the small craft
advsy until mid morning in the Gulf waters beyond 20nm offshore.
Otherwise, look for a drier airmass to move into the region as
the morning progresses. As this occurs light west to southwesterly
winds will become northwest and increase in speed. High pressure
will move overhead then off to the east late Saturday. Onshore
winds resume Saturday afternoon and then prevails through a good
part of next week. The threat of sea fog formation gradually
increases Sunday night, and it appears conditions might be
favorable for a longer duration sea fog event setting up next
week. 47

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)  68  42  71  45 /   0   0   0   0
Houston (IAH)  68  45  71  48 /   0   0   0   0
Galveston (GLS)  63  50  60  52 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for GMZ370-375.

&&

$$