Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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779
FXUS64 KHGX 242325
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
625 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1106 AM CDT Sat Aug 23 2025

- Drier conditions expected through Monday, although isolated
  showers and thunderstorms are still possible near the coast.

- High temperatures will rise into the mid 90s through Monday with
  isolated spots reaching the upper 90s. Heat indices will remain
  in the lower 100s.

- Chance of showers and thunderstorms should rise again midweek
  as another weak boundary approaches from the north.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1114 AM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

High pressure building over the Desert Southwest today will expand
over Texas through the day tomorrow leading to continued drier
conditions. There may be an isolated afternoon thunderstorms south
of I-10 today and tomorrow as the sea breeze moves inland, but
overall rain chances are minimal through tomorrow. The drier
conditions will lead to a return of high temperatures in the mid
90 for most inland locations with isolated spots rising into the
upper 90s.

Another weak, diffuse boundary is expected to approach from the
north on Tuesday creating a surge in PWATs across SE Texas. PWATs
rise from around 1.3" on Monday to around 2" on Tuesday, and these
higher PWATs combined with daytime heating will lead to an
increase in shower and thunderstorm activity. These higher PWATs
will remain through the remainder of the week giving us a daily
chance of showers and thunderstorms. Some days may have higher
coverage than others depending on if any weak disturbances
embedded in the northwest flow aloft move through the region.
Temperatures take a slight cool down Tuesday through the remainder
of the week, but most areas will continue to see highs in the 90s.
Afternoon heat indices will continue to be in the low 100s through
the week.

Fowler

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 623 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

VFR at all sites and prevailing through the period. Light and
variable winds overnight will become southeasterly during the day
Monday. Light patchy fog possible just before sunrise at CXO.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1114 AM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

Light winds and low seas will continue with wind direction
determined by the daily sea breeze, land breeze process through
Monday before a more predominant onshore flow sets up for the
remainder of the week. Isolated showers and thunderstorms will
continue through Monday, but then there will be increasing
chances Tuesday through the remainder of the week as another weak
frontal boundary sags into parts of Southeast Texas.

Fowler

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)  74  96  73  95 /  10  10   0  20
Houston (IAH)  75  97  77  93 /  10  10   0  40
Galveston (GLS)  82  91  83  90 /  10  20  20  40

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Fowler
AVIATION...Adams
MARINE...Fowler