Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Portland, ME
Issued by NWS Portland, ME
866
FNUS71 KGYX 031022
FWSGYX
Spot Forecast for Kennebunk Plains Unit 15...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Gray ME
622 AM EDT Thu Oct 3 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on October 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (207) 688-3224, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
Low clouds and patchy fog this morning will give way to mostly
sunny skies. Light southwest winds this morning will turn
southerly this afternoon with gusts around 15 to 20 mph near the
burn site. These southerly winds will transport higher dewpoint
air into the coastal plain this afternoon with min RH around 50
percent. Low clouds and patchy fog may develop over the burn site
tonight as humidity recovers. Similar conditions are expected
Friday with light winds becoming steady out of the south FRiday
afternoon.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Dewpoint............52.
Max apparent temp...69.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11600 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to fair (29700 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................30 increasing to 40 early in the afternoon,
then decreasing to 25 late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth to or low potential for
large plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........35 29 29 29 29 29 29
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NO NO NO NO NO NO NO
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............63 66 68 69 69 68 66
Dewpoint........51 52 52 53 53 53 54
RH..............65 61 57 57 57 59 65
Aparnt tmp (F)..63 66 68 69 69 68 66
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..5 6 6 7 7 7 7
20 FT wind gust.9 12 12 14 14 14 14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 2.1 2.9 3.5 3.0 2.1 1.2
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW S S
Transp wind spd.8 8 9 9 12 12 12
LVORI...........3 2 1 1 1 2 3
ADI.............25 29 34 40 40 29 20
Haines index....3 3 3 4 4 4 4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..12 15 23 28 30 21 12
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (45-55 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Dewpoint............52 decreasing to 49 early in the morning.
Max apparent temp...63.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 12 mph shifting to the west
after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2400 knot-ft).
LVORI...............7.
ADI.................4.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
for large plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........33 33 33 33 33 33 51 51 51 51 51 51
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............63 59 57 56 54 53 52 52 51 50 50 49
Dewpoint........54 54 53 53 52 52 51 52 51 50 50 49
RH..............72 83 86 90 93 96 96 100 100 100 100 100
Aparnt tmp (F)..63 59 57 56 54 53 52 52 51 49 50 49
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..7 6 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 2 2
20 FT wind gust.14 12 9 9 9 7 7 7 7 7 5 5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW W W
Transp wind spd.10 12 12 10 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7
LVORI...........3 5 5 6 6 8 8 9 9 9 10 10
ADI.............5 5 5 4 5 4 4 4 3 3 2 2
Haines index....4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6 6 5 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 2
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Patchy fog early
in the morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Dewpoint............51 increasing to 56 in the late morning and
afternoon.
Max apparent temp...69.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph late in
the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 6 mph shifting to the south 3 to 10
mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (900 knot-ft).
LVORI...............8 early in the morning.
ADI.................3 early in the morning.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
for large plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........54 54 54 54 54 54 74 74 74 74 74 74
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............50 50 52 58 62 65 67 68 69 68 67 66
Dewpoint........49 49 52 53 54 55 56 56 57 57 57 58
RH..............96 96 100 83 75 70 68 65 66 68 70 75
Aparnt tmp (F)..50 50 52 58 62 65 67 68 69 68 67 66
20 FT wind dir..W W W SW S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..2 1 1 2 3 3 5 5 6 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.5 2 2 5 7 7 9 9 12 12 12 12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.0 1.9 1.6 1.4 1.2
Transp wind dir.W W W SW S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.6 6 3 3 3 3 6 6 7 7 8 10
LVORI...........8 8 M M M M M M M M M M
ADI.............2 4 M M M M M M M M M M
Haines index....5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2 2 1 2 3 4 9 10 12 10 10 11
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
$$
Forecaster...SCHROETER
Requested by...Jon Bailey
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2423449.0/GYX
.DELDT 10/03/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jbailey@tnc.org