882
FXUS61 KGYX 030515
AFDGYX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gray ME
115 AM EDT Fri Oct 3 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will remain in place and continue to dominate our
local weather into the middle of next week. While this morning
will be another chilly one, temperatures will begin to increase
this afternoon and stay well above normal through the start of
the work week. Some temperatures in the 80s will be possible
each day Saturday through Tuesday. A cold front will cross the
region Wednesday into Thursday and bring back normal
temperatures along with our next chance at rainfall.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
Ridging in the column will be the theme today which will yield
fair weather and the start of a warming trend. Temperatures will
begin their above normal climb today with highs in the lower to
mid 70s at most locations.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Not as chilly tonight as the air mass continues to moderate. A
short wave trough moving across northernmost Maine on Saturday
will attempt to push a backdoor cold front southward into the
state thereby cooling off temperatures. However, it`s progress
will be minimal. Cooler temperatures may be found in the
mountains as a result but the rest of the forecast area will
rise to around 80 degrees with no precipitation.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Key Message: High pressure will continue to dominate the local
area weather thru the middle of next week. Temps will be well
above normal thru that period.

Impacts: No significant weather impacts anticipated beyond
maintaining/deepening drought conditions. As temps turn warmer
and fuels continue to dry out fire weather concerns may also
increase.

Forecast Details: By Sun...surface ridging will be building
back north again. Deep southwest flow will advect an anomalously
warm air mass northward into the Northeast. NAEFS guidance has
been fairly consistent in showing a roughly once a decade kind
of warm air mass lingering over the region thru Tue. This will
translate into high temps climbing into the 70s and 80s across
the forecast area. The warmest days look to be Mon and Tue ahead
of the next front.

Then a strong cold front will cross the region Wed into Thu.
However given how warm the area will be ahead of the front...the
cooler air mass replacing it will just bring us back to
seasonable temps. It is also our only real chance of precip in
the extended and perhaps into the following weekend. The flow
largely parallel to the boundary though means that QPF may end
up being a little high potential than a typical cold frontal
passage.

Overall rainfall deficits should increase over the period and
drought will remain steady or expand again. No major changes
have been made to the NBM guidance in the extended.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Short Term...VFR conditions with relatively light winds are
expected today through Saturday. Valley fog will be possible at
BML and LEB at night, but it`s been so dry lately that fog will
be hard to come by elsewhere.

Long Term...VFR conditions will prevail much of the time under
broad area of surface high pressure. Radiational cooling will
maintain some threat of valley fog thru the period...most likely
only affecting LEB and to a lesser extent HIE.

&&

.MARINE...
Short Term...Conditions are expected to remain below SCA levels
on the waters through Saturday with good visibility.

Long Term...Winds and seas are expected to remain below SCA
thresholds thru the middle of next week with high pressure
dominating local weather. A strong cold front is forecast to
cross the waters then which may bring gusty offshore winds and
building seas.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...None.
NH...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...Ekster
SHORT TERM...Ekster
LONG TERM...Legro
AVIATION...Ekster/Legro
MARINE...Ekster/Legro