685
FXUS61 KGYX 240634
AFDGYX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gray ME
234 AM EDT Fri Jul 24 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
A Beach Hazards Statement has been issued for all of our coastal
zones today. High temperatures along the coast will be in the
low to mid 80s today, but water temperatures will only be in
the upper 50s.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1. Pleasant weather continues through the weekend under high
pressure.

2. Precipitation chances Tuesday-Wednesday, but conditions improve
towards the second half of the week. Seasonable temperatures
continue.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...

Broad high pressure will become centered overhead today through
Saturday. This will continue fair weather with highs in the 80s
and lows in the 50s. Conditions will be favorable for sea
breezes that will push inland during the afternoons. High
pressure will continue fair weather Sunday as the center slowly
drifts east of the area.

KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION...

An upper-level low moving through Hudson Bay will amplify a trough
over the Northeast U.S. by early in the week. The low-level response
will be a surface low that likely tracks across New England or
southern Quebec. With it still being ~5 days out, plenty of model
spread exists. Next rain chance centered only general the GFS and
GEFS ensemble are further south, less amplified, and more
progressive, while the ECMWF/EPS ensemble are both further north/more
amplified with a surface low closing off up through 500 mb. Dry
weather should make a return towards the end of the week, but the
exact timing of that remains fuzzy.

In terms of local impacts, generally a similar but less anomalous
setup to the downpours/t-storms that affected us these last few
days. Pretty confident we will see PWATs reach at least 1.5" with
dew points well into the 60s, which should support heavy downpours.
Once again see a signal for a bit of a cold pool aloft with lowering
heights and temperatures aloft, which would support modest
instability developing especially with any sunny breaks. As such
will likely have a few waves of downpours/t-storms both Tuesday and
Wednesday, with the greatest concentration during the afternoon
hours each day when instability is maximized. Despite the increasing
humidity, should have seasonable if not slightly cool temperatures,
given the increased cloud cover and lowering 500 mb heights/1000-500
mb thickness by midweek.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Through 06Z Saturday: VFR conditions expected. The exception is
at KLEB and KHIE where some valley FG is possible, especially
between 09Z-13Z this morning. Winds will remain light through
today with and afternoon sea breeze likely at coastal TAF sites.

Outlook...

Saturday - Monday: VFR prevails.

Monday Night - Wednesday: Showers and storms likely bring brief
periods of MVFR to IFR conditions. But outside of any rain, mainly
MVFR to VFR ceilings are expected.

&&

.MARINE...
High pressure settles over New England through the weekend
allowing for winds and seas to remain below SCA conditions.
Afternoon sea breezes likely freshen onshore winds during the
afternoons. A slow moving frontal system approaches Monday and
crosses Tuesday into Wednesday. Southerly winds will increase
ahead of the front Tuesday.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...Beach Hazards Statement from 8 AM EDT this morning through
     this evening for MEZ023>028.
NH...Beach Hazards Statement from 8 AM EDT this morning through
     this evening for NHZ014.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Hargrove/Barker/Schroeter