Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Greer, SC
Issued by NWS Greer, SC
437
FNUS72 KGSP 181753
FWSGSP
Spot Forecast for Haoe Lead Fire...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
153 PM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 EDT on April 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Per your request, spots will be sent at 1800 EDT going forward, with
a start time of 0800 the following morning. This request has been
communicated to other forecasters here.
Expect Saturday to be similar to Friday, with decent daytime mixing
and RHs bottoming out in the low 30% range. The most aggressive
forecast models do not bring RHs below 30%...and there`s good
agreement that there will simply be too much moisture aloft for
dewpoints to drop significantly lower than forecast. Winds during
the afternoon will be lighter than on Friday...with minimal gusts
expected.
Winds will remain light on Sunday. As moisture continues to build
into the region, expect RHs to struggle to drop below the upper 30%
range, and cloud cover to steadily increase from Saturday night
onward. Nonetheless, daytime mixing will be impressive on Sunday.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
early in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 17 mph shifting to the southwest 16
to 21 mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2647 mph-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (93910 mph-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................10 early in the morning increasing to 108 in
the afternoon.
Stability class.....1.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........21000 decreasing to 16000 in the late morning
and afternoon, then increasing to 21000 late in
the afternoon.
Visibility (SM).....9.
Sfc pressure (in)...27.5.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........37 48 55 55 50 39 50 43 53 59
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............56 60 66 71 75 79 81 82 82 81
Dewpoint........49 50 50 49 49 48 48 49 49 50
RH..............78 69 56 46 39 34 33 32 31 33
20 FT wind dir..S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 7
20 FT wind gust.13 14 15 18 20 20 18 18 18 16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.6 3.4 4.3 4.7 5.1 5.5
Transp wind dir.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.10 14 17 21 21 20 20 18 18 16
LVORI...........5 4 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............10 13 28 46 67 82 99 101 108 101
VRate mph-ft/10003 10 21 36 54 67 84 86 94 89
Ceiling (hft)...210 160 160 160 170 170 180 180 180 210
Visibility (sm).9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Sfc pres (in)...750 751 752 752 752 752 752 751 751 751
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........88 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
becoming light.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (57313 mph-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (1496 mph-ft) late in the
night.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................68 early in the evening decreasing to 3 late in
the night.
Stability class.....4.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........21000 decreasing to 6000 overnight.
Visibility (SM).....10 early in the evening.
Sfc pressure (in)...27.51.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........44 51 33 64 58 51 45 73 75 73 70 68
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............79 76 71 69 66 65 63 62 60 60 59 59
Dewpoint........50 51 52 52 52 52 52 52 53 53 54 54
RH..............36 41 50 55 59 62 67 71 75 78 81 83
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW S S S S S S S S SE
20 FT wind spd..6 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT wind gust.15 13 10 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...4.1 2.8 1.4 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.SW SW S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.14 10 8 7 7 8 7 7 7 6 7 7
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 5 5
ADI.............68 7 5 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 3
VRate mph-ft/100057 29 12 7 5 3 2 2 2 1 2 2
Ceiling (hft)...210 210 210 210 240 240 60 60 60 60 60 60
Visibility (sm).10 10 10
Sfc pres (in)...751 752 753 753 754 755 755 754 753 753 752 752
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent).
Chance of thunder...7 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1496 mph-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (107030 mph-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................3 early in the morning increasing to 128 in the
afternoon.
Stability class.....3.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........6000 increasing to 21000 in the morning and
early afternoon, then decreasing to 6000 early
in the afternoon increasing to 21000 late in
the afternoon.
Visibility (SM).....MISSING.
Sfc pressure (in)...27.45.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........69 71 73 72 70 68 69 70 70 67 64 62
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10
Temp............58 57 59 62 67 72 76 79 80 82 82 80
Dewpoint........54 54 54 56 57 57 56 55 54 54 53 53
RH..............86 88 86 78 69 58 49 43 40 38 37 38
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 2 2 2 3 5 5 5 6 6
20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 6 6 7 8 9 10 10 10 10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.3 1.3 2.3 3.4 4.3 5.2 6.1 6.4 6.8 7.2
Transp wind dir.S SE SE S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.6 6 6 6 8 10 12 12 13 14 14 15
LVORI...........6 5 5 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............3 6 6 10 24 45 62 74 57 108 113 128
VRate mph-ft/10001 1 1 7 19 35 49 60 77 89 94 107
Ceiling (hft)...60 210 210 210 240 240 240 240 60 240 240 210
Visibility (sm).
Sfc pres (in)...752 752 752 752 752 752 751 750 749 748 746 745
$$
Forecaster...Mike Rehnberg
Requested by...Michael Williams
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2510797.1/GSP
.DELDT 04/18/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0