Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Greer, SC

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
742
FNUS72 KGSP 310830
FWSGSP

Spot Forecast for North Fork...USFS
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
330 AM EST Fri Jan 31 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 EST on January 31.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will approach and move through the area today
bringing a band of showers late this afternoon into the early
evening. Increasing cloud cover and moisture will result in
minimum RH values around 60%. Winds will be light out of the
south. Winds will shift to out of the west/northwest on Saturday
behind the cold front.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers in
                    the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...4 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 7 mph late in
                    the morning, then becoming light late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 15 mph shifting to the west 7 to 8
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (35900 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................7 to 39.
Stability class.....3.
Pcpn amount.........0.22 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........19000 decreasing to 16000 late in the morning,
                    then decreasing to 4000 early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 1500 early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 800 decreasing to 600 late in the
                    afternoon increasing to 700.
Visibility (SM).....9 decreasing to 4 late in the afternoon.
Sfc pressure (in)...27.51.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........75  69  84  71  83  75  79  73  79  87  100 100
Weather cov.....                            SCH CHC LKY DEF DEF
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............42  42  42  45  50  55  59  62  62  62  59  59
Dewpoint........35  36  37  39  41  44  46  48  49  50  50  50
RH..............78  81  85  82  71  66  62  61  62  65  71  73
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  W
20 FT wind spd..1   1   2   2   3   5   6   7   6   5   3   3
20 FT wind gust.5   6   7   8   12  14  15  17  16  13  10  9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.1 1.8 1.6 1.0 0.8
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   SW  SW  W
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   7   15  15  18  20  17  14  8   7
LVORI...........4   4   4   4   3   3   1   1   1   3   3   3
ADI.............7   7   7   8   28  32  36  39  32  23  10  8
VRate kt-ft/10005   5   5   5   19  22  33  36  28  19  7   5
Ceiling (hft)...190 220 210 200 220 160 40  20  15  8.0 6.0 7.0
Visibility (sm).9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   5   4   4
Sfc pres (in)...769 768 767 766 765 763 760 758 755 753 751 751

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) then becoming partly
                    cloudy (20-30 percent). Rain showers early in
                    the evening. Slight chance of rain showers
                    early in the evening.
Chance of thunder...4 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 6 mph in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 13 mph increasing to 13 to 16
                    mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (13800 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (4100 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................3 to 11.
Stability class.....5.
Pcpn amount.........0.06 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........1200 increasing to 3000 late in the evening,
                    then increasing to 10000 late in the evening
                    increasing to 15000 overnight increasing to
                    21000 decreasing to 16000 overnight decreasing
                    to 11000 decreasing to 6000 after 3 am.
Visibility (SM).....3 increasing to 6.
Sfc pressure (in)...27.5.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........95  96  88  82  41  19  30  28  30  41  13  26
Weather cov.....DEF CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............56  55  52  50  49  47  45  45  44  44  43  42
Dewpoint........49  48  47  45  43  41  40  39  39  39  39  38
RH..............79  79  81  81  78  79  81  79  83  82  85  86
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  W   NW  NW  NW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   5   5   5   6   6   6   5   5
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   10  10  12  14  14  13  14  14  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.9
Transp wind dir.W   NW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.7   6   6   8   9   10  10  12  13  16  16  13
LVORI...........4   4   5   5   4   4   4   4   5   4   4   5
ADI.............3   3   3   4   6   5   5   5   6   11  7   6
VRate kt-ft/10005   4   4   6   7   8   8   9   10  14  14  10
Ceiling (hft)...12  12  21  30  45  100 150 210 160 110 60  60
Visibility (sm).3   6   6   7   8   7   8   8   8   8   8   8
Sfc pres (in)...752 753 752 751 750 753 756 758 760 762 764 766

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    morning becoming light.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 20 mph shifting to the north 6
                    to 9 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (46400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................14 early in the morning increasing to 67 in the
                    afternoon.
Stability class.....1.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........7000 decreasing to 4500 early in the morning,
                    then increasing to 35000 in the afternoon.
Visibility (SM).....8 early in the morning.
Sfc pressure (in)...27.68.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........29  22  29  22  23  12  14  15  13  12  10  16
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............42  41  42  44  48  51  53  55  56  57  58  56
Dewpoint........39  39  38  39  41  40  40  39  39  39  39  39
RH..............88  92  87  83  76  67  61  54  53  51  49  53
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   NE  E   E
20 FT wind spd..5   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   1   1
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  9   9   8   7   7   7   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.9 1.2 2.2 2.7 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.2
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   NE
Transp wind spd.13  12  12  16  20  16  15  14  12  9   7   6
LVORI...........4   5   4   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   2   2
ADI.............15  14  19  45  67  56  52  50  42  32  25  18
VRate kt-ft/100010  9   12  31  46  39  36  35  29  23  18  12
Ceiling (hft)...70  80  45  45  45  45  45  350 350 350 350 350
Visibility (sm).8   8
Sfc pres (in)...768 771 775 779 783 783 784 784 784 784 784 785

$$
Forecaster...Thomas Winesett
Requested by...Alan Huskins
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2501928.0/GSP
.DELDT 01/31/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0