Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Greer, SC

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483
FNUS72 KGSP 041659
FWSGSP

Spot Forecast for Helene Flood Event...Buncombe County
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1259 PM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1300 EDT on October 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will be possible across
the mountains through this evening. Drier and still warm
conditions return over the weekend and high pressure builds back
into the region.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds.
Ceiling (FT)........1700.
Visibility (SM).....10.

TIME (EDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........85  90  84  89  76
Weather cov.....    SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............72  72  72  71  71
RH..............78  77  76  77  80
Surface wnd dir.W   NW  NW  NW  N
Surface wnd spd.2   2   2   2   2
Surface wnd gst.3   5   3   3   5
Ceiling (hft)...18  17  17  24  24
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly to Mostly Cloudy Skies. Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
                    Patchy fog overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds.
Ceiling (FT)........2400 increasing to 7000 in the late evening and
                    overnight, then increasing to 25000 overnight
                    decreasing to 100 after 3 am.
Visibility (SM).....6 decreasing to 4 early in the morning.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........65  74  73  77  69  67  63  50  56  43  61  76
Weather cov.....SCH                             PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....RW                              FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........SCH
Temp............69  68  66  64  63  63  62  61  61  60  59  59
RH..............85  90  94  98  98  99  99  100 99  99  100 100
Surface wnd dir.N   N   N   NE  N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW
Surface wnd spd.2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3
Surface wnd gst.3   5   5   3   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   7
Ceiling (hft)...24  26  26  28  70  70  70  70  250 250 1.0 1.0
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  6   4

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (60-70 percent) then becoming sunny
                    (10-20 percent). Areas of fog early in the
                    morning. Patchy fog late in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds.
Ceiling (FT)........100 increasing to 35000 in the late morning and
                    early afternoon, then decreasing to 6000 late
                    in the afternoon.
Visibility (SM).....1.5 decreasing to 0.5 early in the morning,
                    then increasing to 4 late in the morning
                    increasing to 10 early in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........84  96  80  65  25  11  8   11  18  20  22  13
Weather cov.....ARS WID WID PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Temp............58  58  58  59  62  68  72  75  77  76  75  75
RH..............100 100 100 100 98  86  74  66  61  62  62  63
Surface wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   E   E
Surface wnd spd.3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3
Surface wnd gst.7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   5   6   6   6
Ceiling (hft)...1.0 1.0 1.0 350 350 350 350 350 60  60  60  60
Visibility (sm).1.2 .47 .47 4   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

$$
Forecaster...Clay Chaney
Requested by...Mark Bender
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2423552.1/GSP
.DELDT 10/04/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0