Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Greer, SC

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794
FNUS72 KGSP 022054
FWSGSP

Spot Forecast for Haoe Lead Fire...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
454 PM EDT Fri May 2 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 EDT on May 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms today and Saturday ahead of a slowly
approaching cold front. Above normal temperatures continue ahead of
the front, falling back to near normal Sunday and Monday. Unsettled
pattern possible by midweek.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms early in the morning, then
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...77 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
                    in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7020 mph-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (59039 mph-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................9 early in the morning increasing to 63 in the
                    afternoon.
Stability class.....3.
Pcpn amount.........0.53 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........3000 increasing to 3500 in the late morning and
                    early afternoon, then decreasing to 1700 late
                    in the afternoon decreasing to 1200 late in the
                    afternoon.
Visibility (SM).....5.
Sfc pressure (in)...27.16.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........82  79  85  87  88  86  91  87  86  90
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF LKY CHC CHC
Chc of thdr (%).40  40  40  50  60  70  80  60  40  30
Temp............57  59  61  65  66  66  67  66  65  64
Dewpoint........56  57  57  58  58  58  58  58  58  57
RH..............94  93  87  78  76  75  73  75  77  79
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   6   7   8   8   8   8   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.14  17  20  22  23  24  25  24  23  21
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.5 2.3 3.0 2.7 2.5 2.2 2.4 2.1 2.0
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.12  14  17  20  18  17  16  20  20  18
LVORI...........6   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............9   27  47  63  56  49  42  54  50  45
VRate mph-ft/10007   21  39  59  50  43  35  46  42  37
Ceiling (hft)...30  40  60  60  45  35  25  21  17  12
Visibility (sm).6   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   6   5
Sfc pres (in)...725 725 724 724 722 720 718 717 716 716

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then
                    rain showers likely overnight.
Chance of thunder...28 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph with gusts to around
                    20 mph early in the evening becoming light.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 18 mph shifting to the west 7
                    to 8 mph late in the evening, then decreasing
                    to 5 to 6 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (36482 mph-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2992 mph-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................45 early in the evening decreasing to 2 late in
                    the night.
Stability class.....4.
Pcpn amount.........0.60 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........1000 decreasing to 100 late in the evening,
                    then increasing to 800 early in the morning.
Visibility (SM).....5 decreasing to 3 late in the evening, then
                    increasing to 10 overnight.
Sfc pressure (in)...27.14.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........89  92  93  94  87  83  82  80  79  71  63  55
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF LKY CHC DEF LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of thdr (%).30  30  30  30  30  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............63  61  60  59  57  57  56  54  53  53  52  51
Dewpoint........56  56  55  55  55  54  53  53  52  52  51  51
RH..............78  83  85  86  91  90  91  93  95  96  97  100
20 FT wind dir..S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   3   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.20  18  16  15  13  12  12  10  9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 1.4 1.1 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.18  15  13  14  10  8   7   7   8   7   6   5
LVORI...........3   4   4   5   6   6   6   6   8   8   8   9
ADI.............45  10  8   6   5   4   3   3   4   3   3   2
VRate mph-ft/100036  21  14  9   7   5   4   5   6   5   4   3
Ceiling (hft)...12  12  11  10  10  1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 8.0
Visibility (sm).5   5   6   9   9   3   3   3   10  10  10  10
Sfc pres (in)...715 714 714 715 716 718 718 717 717 716 716 715

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of thunder...11 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph late
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 8 mph shifting to the southwest 9 to
                    13 mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3452 mph-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (69627 mph-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................2 early in the morning increasing to 86 in the
                    afternoon.
Stability class.....3.
Pcpn amount.........0.06 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........800 increasing to 3000.
Visibility (SM).....10.
Sfc pressure (in)...27.16.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........53  51  49  42  34  27  24  20  17  17  17  17
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
Temp............51  51  50  53  57  61  63  65  67  67  67  66
Dewpoint........51  50  50  50  50  51  49  48  47  46  46  46
RH..............99  98  99  90  79  70  61  54  47  48  47  47
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   2   3   5   5   6   6   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   10  12  14  15  16  17  17  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.0 1.2 1.9 2.6 3.4 4.1 4.8 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.3
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   6   8   9   10  12  12  13  13  13
LVORI...........10  9   8   5   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............2   5   7   15  26  40  53  66  73  84  86  83
VRate mph-ft/10003   4   6   11  20  31  42  53  64  68  70  67
Ceiling (hft)...8.0 8.0 12  12  12  35  35  35  35  35  35  30
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Sfc pres (in)...716 717 719 720 720 721 721 721 720 720 721 721

$$
Forecaster...Jeff Taylor
Requested by...Michael Williams
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2510797.13/GSP
.DELDT 05/02/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0