Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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759
FNUS53 KGRR 191906
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
306 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

...No Rain through Tuesday...

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will prevail through the weekend with low
relative humidity. No rain is expected until at least
Wednesday when a cold front comes through.

MIZ037>039-043>045-200815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
306 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....38-43.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....80 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    1800-2300 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....380-540 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....44-49.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-120 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........47-52 percent near Lake Michigan and 37-42
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 2
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2100-2600 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....340-470 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-200815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
306 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....38-43.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....70-80 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 74.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 48.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-120 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 78.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........31-36 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....340-540 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-200815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
306 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....41-46.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....70 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2000-2500 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-430 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....45-50.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........78-83 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2200-2700 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....310-380 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-200815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
306 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....39-44.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-70 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........32-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....380-640 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 48.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........32-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....340-530 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-200815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
306 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....38-43.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-60 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 74.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....320-530 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....45-50.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........78-83 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....90 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 78.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........28-33 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....320-420 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Southwest winds 5 to
8 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
60s. West winds 7 to 12 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Colder. Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cooler, sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Northwest winds
5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s.

$$