Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
115
FNUS53 KGRR 041948
FWFGRR
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
348 PM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024
...Dry But A Chance of Shower or Storm Saturday Night...
.DISCUSSION...
Fairly dry and breezy conditions will be the norm through the
weekend, which does elevate the fire weather concerns somewhat.
There is a chance of a passing shower or thunderstorm very
late Saturday night. It is questionable how far south any
storm will develop, or whether they will stay mostly in
northern Michigan.
MIZ037>039-043>045-050815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
348 PM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Areas of frost
after 5 AM.
Min temperature.....32-37.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the east
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....50-60 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Patchy frost until 9 AM.
Max temperature.....69-74.
24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........32-37 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 23 mph
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....610-880 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2 AM, then
mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 5 AM, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 11 PM
until 5 AM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....50-55.
24 hr trend......17 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 16 mph shifting to the
southwest around 14 mph overnight. Gusts up to
29 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
1600-2100 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph shifting to the west
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....260-360 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.10-0.40 in.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....65-70.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........34-39 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 11 to 16 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5500-6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1510-1670 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ040-046-050815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
348 PM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent). Areas of frost
after 5 AM.
Min temperature.....31-36.
24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph shifting to the east
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....30-60 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Patchy frost until 9 AM.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........31-36 percent.
24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph increasing to south
around 20 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....610-810 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2 AM, then
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 5 AM, then
partly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 11 PM. Chance of thunderstorms
after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent after midnight.
Min temperature.....50-55.
24 hr trend......20 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 11 to 16 mph with gusts to around
28 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....230-280 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.08-0.37 in.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........31-36 percent.
24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 11 to 16 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6000-6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1740-2030 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ050-056-064-071-050815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
348 PM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....38-43.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-70 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....72-77.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 23 mph
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....550-790 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 11 PM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent after midnight.
Min temperature.....56-61.
24 hr trend......18 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........82-87 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 15 mph shifting to the
southwest around 16 mph overnight. Gusts up to
29 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph shifting to the southwest
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....250-280 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....67-72.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........36-41 percent.
24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 11 to 16 mph with gusts to around 27
mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4800-5300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
5200-5700 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph increasing to northwest
around 30 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....1510-1660 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ051-052-057>059-050815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
348 PM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....35-40.
24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the east
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....60 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 72.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........33-38 percent.
24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....540-770 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 11 PM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent after midnight.
Min temperature.....53-58.
24 hr trend......20 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 13 to 18 mph with gusts to around
30 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....170-240 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.14 in.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....69-74.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........31-36 percent.
24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 13 to 18 mph with gusts to around 27
mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6300-6800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1820-2210 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ065>067-072>074-050815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
348 PM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....39-44.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the east
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....60 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....70-75.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....470-780 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....55-60.
24 hr trend......16 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 12 to 17 mph with gusts to around
29 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....140-240 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....71-76.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........30-35 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 13 to 18 mph with gusts to around 27
mph.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......6000-6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph increasing to around 30 mph
in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....1700-2110 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. West winds 5 to 6 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. North winds
5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming light.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds 5 to
9 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.
$$