Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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048
FXUS63 KGLD 212229
AFDGLD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
329 PM MST Thu Nov 21 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Expect benign weather and a gradual warming trend through
  Saturday, with above normal daytime temperatures for the
  majority of the area.

- A transition to a more active pattern will bring below normal
  temperatures and above normal chances for precipitation to the
  region next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 200 PM MST Thu Nov 21 2024

Synoptic Overview: An upper level ridge, presently situated
over the Rockies and High Plains, will extend/expand eastward
to the Mississippi River Valley (Tonight-Friday).. as an upper
level low, presently centered over the OH Valley, progresses
east toward the Mid-Atlantic/New England coast.

Sensible Weather: Expect benign weather characterized by mostly
clear skies, light winds and a warming trend.. with above
average highs in the 60s (Fri-Sat).

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 200 PM MST Thu Nov 21 2024

Long range guidance indicates that a more active synoptic
pattern will evolve next week as the core of the mid-latitude
westerlies shifts to lower latitudes in the form of a strong
/100-150 knot/ `coast-to-coast` jet (Sun-Mon).. followed by a
transition to cyclonic flow aloft (Tue-Wed). Expect below
average temperatures and above average chances for
precipitation.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 328 PM MST Thu Nov 21 2024

VFR conditions expected through the forecast period as high
pressure slowly meanders through the area. Winds for KGLD,
southwest around 10kts through 09z Friday, then light/variable.
Winds for KMCK, light/variable through 20z Friday then south
5-10kts.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
CO...None.
NE...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Vincent
LONG TERM...Vincent
AVIATION...JN