489
FXUS63 KGLD 132001
AFDGLD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
101 PM MST Thu Nov 13 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Continued dry forecast through the day on Sunday.

- Above normal temperatures today and tomorrow, slight cool down
  over the weekend.

- Multiple chances at precipitation next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 100 PM MST Thu Nov 13 2025

Upper ridge continues to be the main feature through Friday.
Temperatures will warm to around 80 on Friday with the ridge
axis centered over the plains and light downsloping surface
winds. Cold front associated with a shortwave trough in the
northern plains moves through the local area overnight Friday.
No precipitation is expected as the dynamics are too far north.
May see a few hours of breezy northwest winds Saturday morning
(15z-18z) as the inversion breaks and taps into some stronger
winds aloft behind the front. Mixed layer wind forecasts show
30-35 kts possible during that time primarily in northwest
Kansas, then diminishing through the afternoon. Temperatures on
Saturday will be slightly cooler with highs in the upper 60s to
lower 70s and lows Saturday night in the upper 30s. Sunday will
see shortwave ridging aloft and increasing southeast winds at
the surface bringing recirculated cool air. Highs will be in the
mid to upper 60s with mostly sunny skies. Shortwave trough
moves in from the southwest Sunday night. GFS still showing a
secondary cut off low developing over northeast
Colorado/northwest Kansas with scattered rain showers late,
while the ECMWF shows the low cutting off over Wyoming with
lower precipitation chances. Low temperatures will be in the
upper 30s so expecting any precipitation to be rain.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 100 PM MST Thu Nov 13 2025

Upper disturbance continues to move through Monday morning with
some lingering showers, but with current timing should be ending
in the afternoon. Clouds will be slower to clear with high
temperatures in the 50s and lows Monday night in the upper 20s
to lower 30s. Tuesday will see broad southwesterly flow aloft
ahead of the next system organizing in the Desert Southwest.
Skies will be partly cloudy with highs in the 50s and lows in
the 30s. The system will begin to lift northeast on Wednesday
and approach the central and southern Rockies Wednesday night.
Scattered light showers will develop ahead of it in the plains
with the approach of the trough axis. Temperatures fall into the
30s Wednesday night but with increasing clouds think models may
be a little too cold and lows will stay in the mid to upper 30s
and phase will be rain. However, would not be surprised to see
some rain/snow mix in northeast Colorado where wet bulb zero
heights will be most favorable. Still several days out so
confidence in details regarding Wednesday/Thursday system is
low.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1009 AM MST Thu Nov 13 2025

VFR expected to prevail at both KGLD and KMCK through the TAF
period, with light surface winds and occasional high clouds.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
CO...None.
NE...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...024
LONG TERM...024
AVIATION...024