129
FNUS75 KGJT 161010
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Grizzly Ridge...Forest Service
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
410 AM MDT Thu Jul 16 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on July 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...The dome of high pressure aloft continues to absorb
moisture which will lead to daily afternoon thunderstorms. Locally
heavy rainfall is possible along with gusty outflow winds in
excess of 40 mph. With monsoonal moisture arcing across western
Utah...thunderstorm chances will remain a threat into the weekend.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly to mostly cloudy (45-75 percent).
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms mainly after
                    1100.
CWR.................20 percent.
Max temperature.....73-78.
Min humidity........29-34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph becoming North by 1400.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 8200 ft AGL by 1400.
Transport winds.....North 10 mph.
Clearing Index......Increasing to 1050 by 1400.
Chance of thunder...40 percent.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly to mostly cloudy (30-70 percent).
                    Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    through 1900.
CWR.................10 percent.
Min temperature.....50-55.
Max humidity........72-77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to less than 1000 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....North 14 mph.
Clearing Index......Decreasing to 80 overnight.
Chance of thunder...15 percent.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly to mostly cloudy (45-75 percent).
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms mainly after
                    1200.
CWR.................20 percent.
Max temperature.....73-78.
Min humidity........30-35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 9300 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 mph.
Clearing Index......Increasing to 840 in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster...Dennis Phillips
Requested by...Cassidy Halverson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617346.2/GJT
.DELDT 07/16/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL utubc@firenet.gov,hunter.richardson@usda.gov