368
FNUS75 KGJT 051724
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Hay Fire...Northern Colorado Interagency
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1124 AM MDT Thu Jun 5 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1200 MDT on June 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms have already formed near the wildfire.
Main concerns will be lightning and gusty outflow winds, some hail
may also form. Heavy rain is also possible under and near the
stronger cells. Chances for convection will continue through the
early evening hours. Tomorrow, more of the same with late
morning/early afternoon showers and thunderstorms firing once
again.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
CWR.................30 percent.
Max temperature.....67-72.
Min humidity........32-37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 mph.
Chance of thunder...40 percent.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then
                    slight chance of rain showers overnight.
CWR.................20 percent.
Min temperature.....42-47.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair decreasing to poor (7000 knot-ft)
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....South 14 mph.
Chance of thunder...30 percent.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
CWR.................50 percent.
Max temperature.....67-72.
Min humidity........30-35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 mph increasing to 15 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair increasing to good in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 13 mph.
Chance of thunder...55 percent.

$$
Forecaster...Tom Renwick
Requested by...Brandy Hill
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2515408.0/GJT
.DELDT 06/05/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL concc@firenet.gov