406
FNUS75 KGJT 272044
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Babylon Fire...RIST
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
244 PM MDT Mon Jul 27 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 MDT on July 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Models are indicating the showers and storms over the fire
currently will wind down very shortly with no more convection
expected for the rest of the day. Even so, in this type of
environment a quick storm or shower can still pop up so the chance
(20%) still exists. Tomorrow, similar conditions are in place
though models are putting the best chances for convection north of
the fire. Despite that, still have a 30% chance for a shower or
storm to develop over or near the fire. Westerly winds today will
be more northwesterly tomorrow, with a few gusts reaching around
20 mph from time to time.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent.
Max temperature.....85-90.
Min humidity........30-40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph Occasional gusts
                    to 20 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair.
Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 mph.
Clearing Index......560.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....66-71.
Max humidity........49-54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Downslope/Downvalley 3 to 6 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair decreasing to poor (5000 knot-ft)
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 mph.
Clearing Index......640 decreasing to 50 overnight.
Chance of thunder...5 percent.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent.
Max temperature.....87-92.
Min humidity........31-36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 12 mph. Occasional higher
                    gusts expected. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......9100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 mph.
Clearing Index......380 increasing to 680 in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...25 percent.

$$
Forecaster...Tom Renwick
Requested by...Jessi Ouzts
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2618431.0/GJT
.DELDT 07/27/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jessi_ouzts@firenet.gov