265
FNUS75 KGJT 221821
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for P-L Gulch Fire...Colorado IMT
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1221 PM MDT Wed Jul 22 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1300 MDT on July 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Multiple rounds of showers and storms can be
expected today and tonight, with heavy rainfall and flash flooding
being the primary concerns alongside lightning. As a result, a
Flash Flood Watch is in effect through 0300 tonight.

Coverage of showers and storms decreases tomorrow, but enough
remnant moisture will be in place to initiate another round of
afternoon convection. There may also be lingering showers/storms
early Thursday morning from a passing low pressure system.
Conditions continue to dry out as the week progresses, with high
pressure driving weather conditions across the region.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms.
CWR.................20 percent.
Max temperature.....82-87.
Min humidity........30-35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10-15 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......8300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 mph.
Chance of thunder...60 percent.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms in the evening. Showers likely
                    through the night. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms overnight.
CWR.................40 percent.
Min temperature.....58-63.
Max humidity........76-81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8-12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9000-37000 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL decreasing to 1500 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 mph.
Chance of thunder...45 percent.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    morning, then showers and thunderstorms likely
                    in the afternoon.
CWR.................40 percent.
Max temperature.....77-82.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5-10 mph shifting to the west in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of thunder...60 percent.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. South winds 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. South winds 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 60s. Highs around 90. South winds 5 mph.
.MONDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 60s. Highs around 90.
.TUESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.

$$
Forecaster...Kathryn Abbott
Requested by...Larry Long
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617491.6/GJT
.DELDT 07/22/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL lawrence.long719@gmail.com