276
FNUS75 KGJT 110230
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Oak Fire...CO DFPC
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
830 PM MDT Sun Aug 10 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2100 MDT on August 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Breezy northwest winds continue early this evening
before sunset due to the exiting low pressure trough. High
pressure will build to the west Monday, resulting in continued dry
conditions but less wind than previous days. Moisture begins to
increase Tuesday and beyond which will increase chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Chance of wetting rain initially on Tuesday is
low with gusty winds and lightning being the primary concerns.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Areas of smoke
                    overnight.
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....49-54.
Max humidity........30-35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West-northwest winds 8 to 12 mph with gusts to
                    20 mph early this evening, becoming north 5 to
                    10 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10000 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 900 ft AGL or less after sunset.
Transport winds.....North 13 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Areas of smoke in the
                    morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....83-88.
Min humidity........8-13 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 mph shifting to the southwest
                    8 to 12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair increasing to very good in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 13100 ft AGL by peak heating.
Transport winds.....North 10 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of thunder...5 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....51-56.
Max humidity........53-58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 8 to 12 mph shifting to the northeast
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good decreasing to poor (9000 knot-ft)
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......11600 ft AGL decreasing to 900 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....East 11 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent) then becoming partly sunny
                    (55-65 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....83-88.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 mph shifting to the southwest 8 to
                    12 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......7400 ft AGL increasing to 10600 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 mph shifting to the southwest in
                    the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...35 percent.

$$
Forecaster...Matt Aleksa
Requested by...Logan Davis
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2519692.0/GJT
.DELDT 08/10/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL logan.davis@state.co.us