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FNUS75 KGJT 202055
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Kenney Flats Piles...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
155 PM MST Thu Feb 20 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1423 MST on February 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Clouds and nearby convective showers will keep mixing
heights elevated and smoke dispersal good to very good through sunset.
High pressure begins to build in tomorrow, bringing clear skies and
lighter winds. This will lead to lower mixing heights and smoke dispersal
reaching fair by peak heating in the afternoon. Mixing will remain limited
and smoke dispersal poor to fair through the weekend, with the next
chance for improved values coming on Monday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....45-50.
Min humidity........27-32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8-12 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good decreasing to good by 1600 and to poor
                    (20000-25000 knot-ft) by 1700.
Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL decreasing to 1700 ft AGL by 1700.
Transport winds.....West 25 mph.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....13-18.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8-12 mph decreasing to 3-5 mph
                    by 2000. Becoming downslope/downvalley winds
                    3-5 mph by 2300.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3000-13000 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL decreasing to 900 ft AGL by
                    2000.
Transport winds.....West 14 mph shifting to the south 5 mph
                    overnight.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....39-44.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Downslope/downvalley winds 3-5 mph shifting to
                    the southwest by 1200.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3000-30000 knot-ft) increasing to fair by
                    1400, and decreasing back to poor (15000-30000
                    knot-ft) after 1600.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL increasing to 5500 ft AGL by 1400.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 mph shifting to the west 10 mph in
                    the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...Brianna Bealo
Requested by...Fred Ellis AFMO
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2503103.2/GJT
.DELDT 02/20/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL fred.ellis@usda.gov