095
FNUS75 KGJT 242118
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Crosho Fire...US Forest Service
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
318 PM MDT Sun Aug 24 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on August 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Chances for wetting rain on Monday are trending down as of the
latest forecast, though an occasional shower or thunderstorm
still appears likely Monday afternoon. Wetting rain potential
appears to ramp up on Tuesday though, reaching 80% in the
afternoon. Storms are expected to produce lighter, steadier rain
over the coming days, but brief periods of stronger rainfall and a
slight flash flood risk remains possible. Strong, erratic outflow
winds will continue to be a concern as well.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    likely through the day. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Thunderstorms
                    likely in the afternoon.
CWR.................25 percent.
Max temperature.....66-71.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable winds 3-6 mph in the morning becoming
                    north 6-10 mph by 1300 MDT. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (26000 knot-ft) increasing to fair in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL increasing to 7800 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 mph.
Chance of thunder...60 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
CWR.................<10 percent.
Min temperature.....46-51.
Max humidity........74-79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 4-8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7000-32000 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL decreasing to 900 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....South 10 mph.
Chance of thunder...25 percent.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    likely through the day. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Thunderstorms
                    likely in the afternoon.
CWR.................80 percent.
Max temperature.....65-70.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 3-5 mph shifting to the west at
                    6-10 mph with gusts to 15 mph around noon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair.
Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 mph.
Chance of thunder...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster...Braeden Winters
Requested by...Ron Steffens
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2520090.7/GJT
.DELDT 08/24/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL faith_heinsch@firenet.gov,ron_steffens@firenet.gov