719
FNUS75 KGJT 220945
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Sowbelly...BLM-CO-SWD
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
345 AM MDT Tue Jul 22 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on July 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Isolated showers will linger this morning with a few
sprinkles possible. Storms are expected to develop again this
afternoon with coverage isolated to widely scattered. Gusty winds
to 40 mph and lightning will be the primary concerns. Similar
conditions will be seen Wednesday with drier air pushing the
moisture plume further east by late in the week resulting in an
eventual downturn in convective activity.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....79-84.
Min humidity........18-23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 mph shifting to the northwest
                    8 to 12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......7700 ft AGL increasing to 10000 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 mph.
Chance of thunder...15 percent.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....58-63.
Max humidity........39-44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 12 mph in the evening, then
                    becoming downslope/downvalley 4 to 8 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good decreasing to poor (2000 knot-ft)
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......8500 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....West 12 mph shifting to the southwest 10 mph
                    overnight.
Chance of thunder...5 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....78-83.
Min humidity........14-19 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 mph shifting to the west 8 to 12 mph
                    with gusts to around 20 mph in the afternoon. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (32000 knot-ft) increasing to good in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL increasing to 9800 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 10 mph.
Chance of thunder...25 percent.

$$
Forecaster...Matt Aleksa
Requested by...James Savage
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517847.11/GJT
.DELDT 07/22/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL JSavage@blm.gov