734
FNUS75 KGJT 231344
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Muddy Aspen Rx...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
644 AM MST Sat Nov 23 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0735 MST on November 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure starts breaking down today but until the next
system moves through, mixing will be limited. Generally light
southerly winds will also keep mixing to a minimum. Smoke
dispersal will remain in the poor category. Tomorrow, a cold front
will be moving through the region bringing a 20 percent chance
for some precip. Showery activity will allow for stronger mixing
bringing very good smoke dispersal to the burn site. Winds will
occasionally gust to 20 mph, if not a bit higher at times.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....45-50.
Min humidity........16-21 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........4 or low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 14 mph.
Clearing Index......280.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    snow showers overnight.
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....27-32.
Max humidity........45-50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Downslope/Downvalley 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........4 or low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 mph.
Clearing Index......150.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of snow showers
                    in the morning, then snow showers likely in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent.
Max temperature.....37-42.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional
                    gusts to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 27 mph.
Clearing Index......1050.

$$
Forecaster...Tom Renwick
Requested by...Carly McGuire
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2427107.2/GJT
.DELDT 11/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL carly.mcguire@usda.gov