422
FNUS75 KGJT 241107
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for D1 Pondo...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
507 AM MDT Sat May 24 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MDT on May 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A frontal boundary draped across the region will increase
moisture and bring chances for showers and thunderstorms this
afternoon and early evening. Wetting rains are not likely, but
gusty outflows are the primary concern today. Additional moisture
arrives Sunday and more widespread shower activity is expected with
a greater likelihood of wetting rains.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....68-72.
Min humidity........25-30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10-15 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair increasing to very good in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL increasing to 10600 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 mph shifting to the west 20 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Clearing Index......450 increasing to 1050 in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
CWR.................10 percent.
Min temperature.....37-42.
Max humidity........77-82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10 mph shifting to the
                    northeast overnight at 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair decreasing to poor (4000 knot-ft)
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....West 16 mph shifting to the east 10 mph
                    overnight.
Clearing Index......420 decreasing to 50 overnight.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then
                    rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
CWR.................40 percent.
Max temperature.....62-67.
Min humidity........28-33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5-10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (17000 knot-ft) increasing to fair in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 mph.
Clearing Index......180 increasing to 740 in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...35 percent.

$$
Forecaster...Lucas Boyer
Requested by...Spencer Proffit
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2514360.3/GJT
.DELDT 05/24/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL spencer.proffit@usda.gov