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FNUS75 KGJT 242310
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Mill Creek Piles Rx...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
410 PM MST Sun Nov 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 MST on November 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Expect fair weather through the day with clouds moving
in from the west in the late afternoon ahead of the next moist storm
system. Looking for the inversion to break in the afternoon due to
diurnal heating with the sunny skies leading to breezy west winds, but
there is low confidence in these winds. Light snow showers will begin
Monday evening, continuing through Tuesday morning with 1-3 inches
accumulation possible. Snow showers will change over to rain in the
afternoon.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of snow showers
                    in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....33-38.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (13000-27000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 or very low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 mph.
Clearing Index......200.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Snow showers likely in
                    the evening, then snow showers and rain showers
                    overnight.
CWR.................50 percent.
Min temperature.....30-35.
Max humidity........83-88 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3000-7000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 or very low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 14 mph.
Clearing Index......80.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Snow showers in the
                    morning. Rain showers through the day. Slight
                    chance of snow showers in the afternoon.
CWR.................80 percent.
Max temperature.....36-41.
Min humidity........76-81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (16000-18000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 or very low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 20 mph.
Clearing Index......320.

$$
Forecaster...David Byers
Requested by...Timothy Spurr
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2427226.0/GJT
.DELDT 11/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL timothy.spurr@usda.gov