912
FNUS75 KGJT 202226
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Crosho Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
426 PM MDT Wed Aug 20 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on August 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Hot and dry conditions continue Thursday, with critical fire
weather conditions not expected thanks to light winds. Wetting
rains are not expected. Near zero chance for thunderstorms in the
afternoon, but given an isolated storm develops on nearby terrain, expect
gusty outflows and little to no rain. Cooler temperatures and
additional moisture arrive Friday with wetting rains possible.
Thunderstorms with gusty outflow winds remain a threat Friday. A
cooler and potentially wetter pattern emerges heading into the
weekend and beyond.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....80-85.
Min humidity........13-18 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5-10 mph shifting to the northwest in
                    the afternoon at 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good increasing to very good in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......13100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10-15 mph.
Chance of thunder...5 percent.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....51-56.
Max humidity........48-53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South to southwest winds 5-10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good decreasing to poor (8000 knot-ft)
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......8900 ft AGL decreasing to 900 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....South 10 mph.
Chance of thunder...5 percent.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....76-81.
Min humidity........22-27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10-15 mph with gusts to 20 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good increasing to very good in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL increasing to 10700 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15-20 mph shifting to the northwest in
                    the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...35 percent.

$$
Forecaster...Lucas Boyer
Requested by...Brian Dykstra
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2520335.0/GJT
.DELDT 08/20/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brian_dykstra@firenet.gov