868
FNUS73 KGID 180723
FWSGID

Spot Forecast for W Road Fire...NE State Fire Marshal WIRAT
National Weather Service Hastings NE
223 AM CDT Fri Oct 18 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 CDT on October 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

South winds should hold steady through Saturday. The strongest
winds (15 to 20 MPH and gusting as high as 30 MPH) will be in
place this morning, lasting though a majority of the daytime.
Gusts Saturday should only reach as high as 20 MPH in the
strongest part of the day (1-4PM). Increase moisture today and
Saturday will keep the Relative Humidity from dropping below 40%.
There is a small chance 20-40% for a light shower or two Friday
evening through Saturday morning.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 16 to 21 mph.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 24 to 30 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........69  73  73  69  58  59  62  63  69  72  70
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............55  54  56  60  65  68  72  74  75  76  75
RH..............55  58  57  52  47  45  43  41  41  40  41
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..20  21  20  20  21  20  18  17  17  16  16
20 FT wind gust.32  33  32  32  33  32  31  29  29  28  28
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.1 1.6 2.1 2.3 2.9 3.2 3.6 4.1 4.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.24  24  28  30  30  28  28  26  26  28  28
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 9 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 22 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........74  80  80  81  80  85  86  86  86  86  87  84
Weather cov.....    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............75  72  69  67  65  64  63  62  61  60  59  57
RH..............41  46  52  56  60  60  62  63  65  68  70  71
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..15  14  14  14  14  13  12  10  9   10  10  9
20 FT wind gust.25  23  23  23  23  21  20  17  16  17  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 1.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.22  18  17  18  18  18  17  17  14  15  13  14
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the morning. Slight
                    chance of rain showers in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    morning.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........83  81  79  76  74  72  68  65  64  65  65  61
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............57  56  55  54  58  62  64  67  68  69  69  68
RH..............73  75  80  85  75  68  66  61  61  60  58  61
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   8   9   10  12  12  10  10  9   8
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  16  17  20  20  17  17  16  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.3 2.8 3.2 3.5 3.4 2.6
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.13  12  14  13  15  15  15  16  16  16  15  14
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Stump
Requested by...Kyle Woodgate
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2424395.0/GID
.DELDT 10/18/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kyle.woodgate@nebraska.gov