897
FXUS63 KGID 062023
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
323 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Showers and thunderstorms are expected tonight. These are not
  expected to be severe, but a strong storm or two is possible
  (20% to 30% chance).

- Patchy fog may develop late tonight across areas mainly west
  of Highway 281.

- The warmest day of the forecast is Wednesday with highs in the
  upper 80s to lower 90s.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 320 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

Today and tonight...

An upper level trough is over Wyoming, Colorado, and Utah and is
beginning to move over Nebraska and Kansas. Winds across south
central and central Nebraska and north central Kansas are mostly
light and variable. High temperatures today will be in the low to
mid 70s with partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies. Upper lift will
increase over the area late this afternoon into tonight as the upper
trough begins to move overhead. Chances of showers and thunderstorms
will increase from around 20% to 40% early this evening to 40% to
65% later tonight. These storms are generally not expected to be
severe but an isolated strong storm or two is possible (20% to 30%)
mainly across north central Kansas with bulk shear values up to
around 50 knots and surface CAPE up to around 1,000 J/kg. Hail up to
the size of nickels and wind gusts up to 55 mph will be the main
threats. Low temperatures tonight will be in the low 50s to low 60s.
Patchy fog may develop late tonight across western portions of the
area (mainly from around Kearney westward) behind the showers and
thunderstorms. This fog development will depend on how quickly the
rain and storms move eastward.

Saturday through Sunday night...

The upper trough will pass east of the area on Saturday with
clearing skies from west to east. Winds will mostly be out of the
west on Saturday but will remain light (less than 15 mph).
Temperatures are expected to warm up into the upper 70s to mid 80s.
Showers and thunderstorms may linger into the day on Saturday,
especially across eastern portions of the area. Winds will switch to
the north Saturday night as an upper trough passes over the northern
Plains/Upper Midwest. Low temperatures Saturday night will be
similar to those from the previous night. The upper trough will
expand over the central Plains on Sunday. Showers and storms may
develop (15% to 30% chance) on Sunday as upper lift increases over
the area. Height falls will result in cooler temperatures for Sunday
with highs in the low/mid 70s to low 80s. Winds will be out of the
west to northwest Sunday night with temperatures cooling into the
upper 40s to mid 50s.

Monday through Thursday...

Nebraska and Kansas will be on the back side of the upper trough on
Monday with winds out of the northwest. High temperatures on Monday
are expected to be in the mid 70s to low 80s. Low temperatures
Monday night will be in the mid 40s to mid 50s. South central and
central Nebraska and north central Kansas will be on the back edge
of the upper trough on Tuesday with light and somewhat variable
winds. Temperatures on Tuesday are expected to warm up into the 80s.
Winds will become more southerly Tuesday night with temperatures
cooling into the lower/mid 50s to 60 degrees. Winds will increase
out of the south on Wednesday with upper ridging overhead.
Temperatures are expected to warm up into the upper 80s to lower
90s. Low temperatures Wednesday night will be in the upper 50s to
mid 60s. An upper low will be centered over Oklahoma on Thursday
with gusty, southerly winds across south central and central
Nebraska and north central Kansas. Temperatures on Thursday will be
slightly cooler than those on Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1237 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Ceilings are expected to improve to VFR by 20z with low ceilings
returning around 06z and continuing through at least 13z.
Improving ceilings are expected from 13z to 16z with VFR
conditions from 17z onward. There is a chance of showers and
thunderstorms beginning around 06z and possibly continuing until
around 15z. Winds will mostly be light and variable.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Schuldt
AVIATION...Schuldt