720
FXUS63 KGID 121148
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
548 AM CST Wed Nov 12 2025

...AVIATION UPDATE...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Spectacular fall weather - including well above normal
  temperatures, plentiful sunshine, and light winds - continue
  through the end of the week. Expect afternoon highs in the 60s
  to potentially mid 70s through Saturday!

- A cold front and large scale pattern change arrives late
  Saturday. Highs will cool into the 50s to around 60F for
  Sunday, then drop further into the 40s to around 50F for much
  of next week.

- Precipitation chances (30-40%) return on Monday. The
  atmospheric profile continues to favor rain, with overall
  precipitation amounts likely less than one quarter of an inch.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 317 AM CST Wed Nov 12 2025

Another seasonably mild night across the region as light
westerly winds helped keep overnight temperatures just above
freezing in most locations. This seasonably mild start to the
day will allow for rapid warming during the morning hours, with
full sunshine and light winds making for another beautiful
afternoon. Overall 850 MB temps have fallen 2-4C across the area
from yesterday, which means highs will likely fall a few
degrees shy of yesterdays very mild highs.

With the upper level ridge across the intermountain west
shifting slowly east over the next few days, expect a string of
very mild fall weather across the area, with temperatures
likely peaking Friday afternoon in concert with the apex of the
upper level ridge extending across the central Plains. As a
result, temperatures for Friday afternoon have crept into record
territory, with the record high temperatures for both Hastings
and Grand Island now in jeopardy (current records are 74 (1990)
and 71 (2001,1990) respectively for November 14th).

While the ridge will begin to flatten and push east on Saturday
in response to a cold front and upper level trough pushing
across the northern Plains, Saturday will likely remain on the
very mild side as the surface front will likely not cross the
area until the late afternoon or evening hours. While this front
will be dry, modestly cooler air (yet seasonable) can be
expected in its wake for Sunday, before an upper level low
across the desert southwest swings into the plains on Monday
bringing increased cloud cover and a chance for some light
precip to the local area. At this point, this continues to look
like a fairly mild system, with a cool rain possible area wide
Monday.

While the initial system looks like a fairly meager precip maker
(generally less than 0.25"), it looks to mark a transition to a
cooler and more unsettled weather pattern that ensemble model
members are indicating could last all the way until
Thanksgiving.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 539 AM CST Wed Nov 12 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

High confidence VFR conditions through the period. Expect clear
skies this morning to be overtaken by some thin passing high
level clouds this afternoon...lingering and thickening a bit
through the end of the period. At the surface...light westerly
winds this morning will diminish and become more southerly by
midday...likely less than 8 KTs. Winds may increase a couple of
knots this evening as a weak LLJ develops across the area...but
no LLWS is anticipated and surface winds should remain below 12
KTS.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...SR
AVIATION...SR