Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE
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615 FXUS63 KGID 091955 AFDGID Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hastings NE 155 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Rain chances/light drizzle will slowly taper off into the evening hours as the upper level low across south central Nebraska lifts northeast and away from the region. - Mild temperatures (50s and 60s) return to the area tomorrow afternoon and are forecast to continue in this range through the end of next week. - A very small chance (15-30%) for precip returns to the local area Tuesday evening through Wednesday morning. This does not look like a major event and some areas will likely see no measurable precip. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 143 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024 A large upper level low remains centered across the heart of the forecast area this afternoon and is forecast to lift north and away from the local area this evening. Lots of clouds have been rotating around the circulation of this low and across the region this afternoon, but precip has become very light and spotty. Continue to expect a small chance for additional light amounts of precip through the late afternoon/every evening hours (on the order of a couple of a hundredths of an inch), with some partial clearing overnight as the low exits the region overnight. For areas that clear out, expect low temperatures to drop into the lower to mid-30s to start the day on Sunday, or just a couple of degrees above normal for mid-November. As full sunshine returns to the area Sunday afternoon, expect temperatures to warm to near 60 across much of the area, in part aided by light westerly flow. Aloft, heights will begin to rise as a transitory ridge of high pressure begins to spread across the region, ahead of the next west coast low which should move onshore across California late Monday. This low will eventually make its way across the central Plains late Tuesday, steering some cloud cover and a small chance for precip across the area, but this looks to be a weak system with minimal precip totals anticipated locally. Behind this trough will come another upper level ridge of high pressure that should persist through the end of next week as the subsequent west coast low organizes across the desert southwest. This should leave generally above normal heights aloft through the period, with above normal temperatures mostly in the 50s and 60s as a result, with low temperatures falling into the 30s and lower 40s most days, which also represent seasonably warm lows for this time of year. Overall...mild and mostly dry conditions are expected across the area behind todays departing low pressure system - all the way through next weekend. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/... Issued at 1125 AM CST Sat Nov 9 2024 For KGRI/KEAR Airports: The upper level low centered across the area this morning will gradually lift northeast through the afternoon hours with gradually improving conditions expected at both terminals. Already seeing a bit of progression of this low on radar the past hour...but expect IFR CIGS to become less prevalent over the next couple of hours and for shower activity to end by 10/00Z...as wind gradually shift and become more westerly as the area of low pressure moves into eastern Nebraska. Thereafter... prevailing VFR conditions can be expected. && .GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...None. KS...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Rossi AVIATION...Rossi