401
FXUS63 KGID 060813
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
313 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Seasonably cool and dry weather is expected this weekend with highs
  in the upper 60s to upper 70s.

- Chances for rain return to the area on Monday (15-40%), with additional
  chances Wednesday-Friday (15-25%).

- Near normal temperatures expected next week with highs in the
  80s.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 310 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025

Today...

Temperatures this morning are currently sitting in the 40s, under
mostly clear skies and light winds. Temperatures are expected to
bottom out in the low to mid 40s, with isolated areas north of
Highway 92 dropping into the upper 30s. Aloft, the area is under
northwesterly flow as troughing resides over the Great Lakes. The
cool start to the day will continue into the afternoon, with highs
in the upper 60s to mid 70s, around 10 degrees below normal. Winds
will remain light and variable throughout the day as high pressure
sits over the area. Overall, a cool but pleasant fall-like day is
expected for the area. Lows tonight will be in the mid 40s to low
50s.

Sunday...

Northwesterly flow aloft weakens somewhat on Sunday, as troughing
begins to shift further east. This will result in another seasonably
cool but pleasant day with highs in the 70s. Winds will be breezier
on Sunday, with gusts around 20mph.

Monday...

A shortwave trough will move into the Plains on Monday, bringing a
chance for rain to the area. An initial round of showers/storms is
possible (15-25%) during the morning hours, moving in from the west,
but is expected to dissipate/exit eastern portions of the area by
the early afternoon. Highs on Monday will be in the 70s to low 80s
with southerly winds gusting 20-25mph.

During the late afternoon-evening hours another round of
showers/storms could develop (15-40%) along the surface trough/cold
front. Capping aloft could inhibit storm development, especially if
morning convection is more robust. Still, CAPE values of 1000-2000
J/Kg combined with shear of 20-30kts would support a few storms on
the stronger side should they develop.

Tuesday Onwards...

Southwesterly flow-weak ridging builds over the area on Tuesday and
continues through the rest of the forecast period as troughing sits
over the western U.S. Near to above normal temperatures are expected
Tuesday onwards, with highs in the 80s. A few scattered chances for
precipitation (15-25%) litter the back half of the forecast period
as shortwave troughs traverse this southwesterly flow aloft. The
details on these chances will become clearer as we get closer and
model spread decreases.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1208 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

VFR conditions expected through TAF period. Light and variable
winds continue through the evening hours on Saturday, eventually
settings at easterly by the end of the TAF period. Clear skies
are expected for the most part outside of a few passing high
clouds.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Davis
AVIATION...Davis