891
FXUS63 KGID 191900
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
200 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

-  Heat Advisory in effect 10am-10pm Monday with heat index
   values up to 108 degrees.

- Isolated-scattered thunderstorms possible (15-20%) along and
  north Highway 92 in Nebraska late Monday afternoon/evening.

- Highs in the upper 80s (north) to mid 90s (south) on Tuesday
  with northerly winds gusting 20-25mph.

- More widespread shower/storm chances (40-70%) arrive Wednesday
  and Thursday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 159 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

This afternoon-Tonight...

Temperatures this afternoon are currently in the 90s, warmest across
north central Kansas. Heat index values are expected to top out
around or slightly over 100 degrees. Scattered thunderstorm chances
look to remain east/south of the forecast area this afternoon-
evening. Lows tonight will be in the 70s with clear skies and light
winds.

Monday...

Monday is expected to be the hottest day of the forecast period as
highs soar into the upper 90s to low 100s. Hot temperatures combined
with dewpoints in the 60s to around 70 degrees will result in heat
index values in the mid to upper 100s. A Heat Advisory is in effect
for the entire area from 10am to 10pm Monday.

During the late afternoon-early evening hours, a cold front pushes
into far northern portions of the area. Isolated to scattered
thunderstorm development is possible (15-20%) along this front. Any
storm would likely come to an end around sunset as stability
increases. Areas with the highest chance to see a storm will be
along and north of Highway 92 in Nebraska. Shear looks to be higher
than on previous days, and could support a storm on the stronger
side (gusty winds possible). The cold front steadily pushes south
across the area overnight, though lows remain in the 70s overnight.

Tuesday...

The cold front will reach portions of north central Kansas around
sunrise on Tuesday. Aloft a trough diving into the Midwest
transitions the area to a northwesterly flow pattern. Breezy winds
are expected on Tuesday behind the front, gusting 20-25mph. Highs on
Tuesday will be in the upper 80s (north) to mid 90s (south).

Wednesday Onwards...

Rain chances return to the area on Wednesday and Thursday as a
series of disturbances traverse through the northwesterly flow
aloft. Wherever cloud coverage and lingering convection sets up,
highs on Wednesday and Thursday will be sightly cooler, in the 80s.
At this time models support two waves of showers/storms moving
through the area: one Wednesday-Thursday AM which favors
northeastern portions of the area, and a second Thursday
evening/night which favors more central portions of the area.
There`s still plenty of time for things to change, and the exact
track of these rain chances will become clearer as we get closer in
time. Otherwise temperatures begin to climb back above normal as we
move into next weekend with ridging rebuilds over the area.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1208 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

VFR conditions expected during TAF period. FEW-SCT clouds around
050 are favored this afternoon, clearing this evening. Southeast
winds of 8-10kts fall to around 05kts overnight as winds shift
to the southeast.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...Heat Advisory from 10 AM to 10 PM CDT Monday for NEZ039>041-
     046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087.
KS...Heat Advisory from 10 AM to 10 PM CDT Monday for KSZ005>007-
     017>019.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Davis
AVIATION...Davis