845
FXUS63 KGID 160511
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1211 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

...AVIATION UPDATE...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- An isolated shower cannot be ruled out for Thursday, but
  overall dry conditions are expected to continue until early
  next week.

- Temperatures climb into the mid to upper 90s for Saturday-
  Monday. Heat index values of 100-105 are expected in many
  areas.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 109 PM CDT Wed Jul 15 2026

Afternoon cumulus has been a bit more expansive today than
previous days, and this trend is expected to continue on
Thursday. An isolated shower also isn`t out of the question
Thursday afternoon, but the probability (5-10%) is to low to
warrant a mention in the official forecast at this point.

Otherwise, ridging will keep us mostly dry and increasingly warm
through the weekend and into early next week. Temperatures look
to peak on Sunday/Monday with high temperatures potentially
approaching 100 degrees in many areas. The current expectation
is for heat index values to top out 100-105 degrees (highest in
the east where dewpoints remain higher).

PoPs finally return to the forecast for Tuesday. Global
ensembles then favor a pattern shift to more near or slightly
below normal temperatures for the middle of next week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1202 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Prevailing VFR conditions through the period with an outside
chance for some light and shallow BR during the early morning
hours. Confidence is on the lower side for BR development and
opted to not include the mention in either TAF, with GRI being
more likely than KEAR to see anything. Winds will be mainly
southeasterly less than 8 KTS overnight, becoming southerly
during the daytime hours with gusts of 15-18KTS aft 16/18Z
along with a repeat of some scattered afternoon CU around 5 KFT.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Mangels
AVIATION...Rossi