113
FXUS63 KGID 082319
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
519 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Gusty northwest winds of 30 to 45 mph will continue through
  this evening along with scattered rain showers. A few snow
  flakes could even mix in after sunset (Nebraska zones), but no
  snow accumulation expected.

- Coldest air of the season will filter into the region over the
  next 36 hours. Low temperatures tonight behind the departing
  storm system will only be in the lower 20s Nebraska to the mid
  20s Kansas. Highs on Sunday will struggle into the upper 30s
  in the Tri- Cities with Sunday night lows in the mid teens.

- Unseasonably warm temperatures return by Tuesday and continue
  much of next week. Several days of highs in the 60s to near 70
  are expected Tue-Sat.

- Dry conditions are likely after tonight through the next 7+
  days.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 218 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025

Today into Tonight...

A strong cold front has swept through the area and the post
frontal northwest winds will remain particularly gusty (35-45
mph)until around sunset, when they will gradually begin to
decrease. Wind gusts could still be over 25 mph until around
midnight.

We had one cluster of rain showers move through the Grand
Island/Hastings area earlier this afternoon and at 3 PM was from
York to Hebron. There is less activity on radar behind these
initial showers, but with some sunshine we could see additional
convectively driven rain showers develop mainly north of I-80
over the next several hours. The 18Z HRRR indicates that a few
rain showers could turn over to snow around or after sunset
before ending as colder air filters in.


Sunday into Monday...

Northwest winds continue to bring in the colder air, but at
least the wind will not be as gusty as today and we expect clear
skies by afternoon. Still it will not feel pleasant with highs
only in the mid to upper 30s Nebraska to lower 40s over north
central Kansas. Sunday afternoon wind chill values never get
above 30 degrees in the Tri-Cities. Pipe freezing mid teens are
expected for low temperatures Sunday night, if you still have
outdoor plumbing turned on you might want to take care of that.

Monday will be the beginning of the warmup with clear skies and
warmer southerly winds. Highs back into the 40s.


Tuesday through Saturday...

An upper level ridge will develop over the western United States
and gradually slide east into our area as we head through the
period resulting in above normal temperatures and dry
conditions. The next storm system will likely be a cut off low
over the desert southwest that could eject into the high plains
as early as Sunday, but too early to tell if it will focus its
rain on the southern plains or the central plains.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 514 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

SCT-BKN MVFR ceilings move into the TAF sites around 01-03z, but
transition to VFR around/shortly after midnight. Skies gradually
clear during the morning hours on Sunday, becoming clear by the
late morning hours. Northwest winds gusting around 25kts
continues through midnight, dropping to around 20kts by sunrise
and continuing through the late afternoon. Gusts fall below
15kts around the end of the TAF period.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Wesely
AVIATION...Davis