896
FXUS63 KGID 081757
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1157 AM CST Fri Nov 8 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Rain will move across the area today into Saturday. Total
  rainfall amounts are expected to range from around 0.50 inches
  to around 1.50 inches.

- High temperatures will range from the mid 40s to lower 60s.
  Low temperatures will range from the mid 20s to mid 40s.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 345 AM CST Fri Nov 8 2024

Today through Saturday night...

A big upper low is centered over New Mexico and extends northward
over Wyoming. Showers associated with lift from the upper low are
moving northward across north central Kansas into south central
Nebraska. The upper low will lift north northeast this afternoon
into this evening. This will result in rain increasing across north
central Kansas and south central and central Nebraska this afternoon
into this evening. High temperatures today will range from the mid
40s across western portions of the area to the mid 50s across
eastern portions. The upper low will move over western Kansas
tonight with temperatures cooling into the mid 30s to mid 40s. The
upper low will continue moving northward on Saturday over Nebraska
with rain decreasing across the area. High temperatures on Saturday
will be in the mid 40s to mid 50s. Rain chances end Saturday night
as the upper low moves northeast of the area. Total rainfall amounts
are expected to range from around a half inch to around an inch and
a half. Low temperatures Saturday night will be in the 30s.

Sunday through Thursday night...

Winds will be out of the west to southwest on Sunday with
temperatures warming up into the mid 50s to low 60s. Low
temperatures Sunday night will be in the 30s with a weak cold
front/northerly wind shift moving into the area. High temperatures
on Monday will warm up into the mid to upper 50s with lows Monday
night ranging from the mid 30s to lower 40s. An upper trough will
begin moving over the central part of the country on Tuesday.
Temperatures on Tuesday will warm up into the mid 50s to lower 60s.
Low temperatures Tuesday night will range from the mid 30s to mid
40s. A weak cold front will move into the area Wednesday as the
upper trough passes to the east. High temperatures on Wednesday will
be in the 50s with low temperatures Wednesday night dropping into
the mid 20s to mid 30s. Temperatures will warm up a little on
Thursday with winds becoming southerly. Low temperatures Thursday
night will range from the upper 20s to upper 30s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1150 AM CST Fri Nov 8 2024

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Significant weather: IFR CIGs and at least MVFR VSBYs likely
much of tonight into Sat AM.

This afternoon: Off and on showers will lift S to N across the
terminals this aftn. This activity will be lgt with CIGs mostly
above 5K ft, but some brief reductions to high-end MVFR VSBYs
will be possible. Lgt and vrbl winds will transition to mainly
NErly 5-10kt by sunset. Confidence: High.

Rest of the period: A more notable increase in rain showers and
associated reductions in CIGs and VSBYs will occur late this
eve, and esp. after about midnight. Expect IFR CIGs and at least
MVFR VSBYs within steady rain from around midnight through dawn.
It`s possible VSBYs could drop into IFR category, esp. in any
heavier shwrs. Winds will incr as well as veer through the
night, becoming sustained 10-15kt with gusts 20-25kt by around
sunrise Sat AM. Shwr coverage should decrease by ~15Z Sat as the
dry slot of the upper storm system works its way in, which calls
for a transition from prevailing rain to a PROB30 group.
However, expect IFR CIGs to persist through at least midday.
Confidence: CIGs/Wind - high, VSBYs - medium.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Schuldt
AVIATION...Thies