463
FXUS63 KGID 091752
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1152 AM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A breezy and cold start to the day with wind chills ranging
  from 5 to 15 degrees through the morning hours. As winds
  diminish this evening, the coldest lows of the season (single
  digits to teens) are anticipated for Monday morning.

- After a modest warm-up on Monday, unseasonably warm
  temperatures return Tuesday afternoon and will continue
  through the end of the week. Several days of highs in the 60s
  to near 70 are expected Tue-Sat.

- Dry weather is anticipated all week with the next (small)
  chance for some light rain anticipated by Saturday night or
  Sunday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 408 AM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

Skies are clearing across the local area early this morning,
although some mid/high level clouds upstream of the region
should move across south central Nebraska and north central
Kansas through the morning hours. Once this cloud cover clears,
a mostly sunny (and chilly) afternoon is in store for the
region as cold air advection continues in northerly flow. In
addition to the cold temperatures, winds will likely remain
breezy through the afternoon hours ahead of an area of surface
high pressure that is forecast to settle across the area from
the north overnight tonight. This high will bring very light
winds to the region tonight, which combined with clear skies,
will allow temperatures to tank by early Monday morning.
Adjusted lows down for tonight, with many models indicating
temperatures could fall into the single digits across our
typically coolest spots, with widespread teens expected across
the remainder of the area.

As the surface ridge pushes southeast on Monday, southerly
return flow will help moderate temperatures across the area,
although Monday will still likely be on the cooler side, with
most areas not breaking out of the 40s. This should be the last
cold day for a while, however, as high pressure aloft then
shifts into the plains, steering subsequent upper level
disturbances well north and east of the local area and allows
temperatures to rebound into the 60s and 70s for the remainder
of the week.

Models begin to diverge next weekend with the handling of a
west coast trough/low, with the GFS looking much more favorable
for some precip returning over the weekend and the EC taking an
upper level low south of the area. Still plenty of time of
hammer out details for next weekend, but given a sizable number
of ensemble members of both the EC and GFS bring some precip
back to the area, slightly cooler temperatures and at least a
small chance for precip should return for at least the latter
half of next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1146 AM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Skies have cleared out and should remain clear or at least
mostly clear throughout the remainder of the TAF valid period.
Can not completely rule out a few high transient clouds. Breezy
north northwest winds this afternoon will quickly die down
around sunset and will become light and variable prior to dawn
on Monday. When the wind starts back up later Monday morning it
will be out of the south southwest. This is a very high
confidence (>80%) VFR TAF.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Rossi
AVIATION...Wesely