588
FXUS63 KGID 040515
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1215 AM CDT Wed Jun 4 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Rain ends by this evening. Dry and cooler than normal through
  Wednesday.

- Showers and a few thunderstorms become possible again
  Thursday. Severe storms are not expected.

- Isolated shower/tstorm chances on Friday, with increasing
  chances Saturday afternoon and evening. continue
  Friday/Saturday.

- Trending drier and warmer early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 150 PM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025

As of early Monday afternoon, fairly widespread rain continues
over most of the forecast area, although this is starting to
clear from the northwest. Additional rainfall on the order of
0.05-0.15" is possible over the southeastern half of the area,
but all precipitation should exit the area by around 6-7pm this
evening. Clearing skies and decreasing winds should allow
temperatures to fall into the 40s by Wednesday morning. With
these light winds and recent rainfall, some patchy fog would not
be a huge surprise, but near term models do not show much
support for this.

Winds remain light on Wednesday, and temperatures remain on the
cooler side with large upper trough centered over the northern
CONUS. A weak shortwave at the base of this trough may allow for
a few showers/storms to develop over the Sandhills, but CAMs
maintain that this activity will remain outside of the GID
forecast area.

Wednesday night, another shortwave moves out of the SW CONUS,
bringing scattered showers to the area on Thursday. A few
thunderstorms are also possible, but instability remains
limited, and therefore the severe threat is low. Low chances
for thunderstorms continue on Friday as additional shortwaves
move through the area. We will trend a bit warmer (mid 70s), and
instability will increase a bit...but the threat for severe
weather remains pretty low...especially for early June.

A stronger shortwave will move into the northern Plains
Saturday into Saturday night, potentially bringing a better
chance for thunderstorms to the area. This will depend on the
timing/track of this wave and associated surface
features...which is still uncertain at this range. This is
probably the best opportunity for severe weather over the next 7
days. That said, it doesn`t appear to be a
widespread/significant severe threat.

Increasing ridging over the western CONUS will promote a drier
pattern as we start next week, and temperatures are favored to
return to the low to mid 80s for Sunday-Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1212 AM CDT Wed Jun 4 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Current forecast for this TAF period remains VFR. Kept the
forecast dry, but it`s not totally out of the question that some
isolated showers could develop this afternoon...just not nearly
enough confidence to insert a mention. Winds the rest of tonight
into the morning hours remain on the light/variable
side...turning more ESE for the latter half of the period, with
speeds looking to top out around 10 MPH.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Mangels
AVIATION...ADP