842
FXUS63 KGID 212302
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
602 PM CDT Thu Aug 21 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Spotty showers and t-storms Friday afternoon. Most areas will
  remain dry.

- Better rain/t-storm chances Friday night into Saturday
  morning. Some could be strong to marginally severe.

- Significantly cooler through the first half of next week with
  off and on low chances for rain/t-storms.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 225 PM CDT Thu Aug 21 2025

Fair weather cumulus continues to bubble up this afternoon,
especially over southeast parts of the area. Strong inhibition
aloft should prevent any further convective development, and dry
conditions are are expected through the evening. Scattered
showers/storms will develop over CO/WY this evening, but should
dissipate and lift to the north before reaching the local area.

A cold front pushes into the area on Friday, leading to slightly
cooler temperatures (mainly north of I-80). A few showers and
isolated may also develop in the vicinity of this front Friday
afternoon, but CAMs keep coverage pretty sparse. The area with
the highest chance to see any measurable precipitation will be
along/north of I-80.

Better chances for thunderstorms arrive with better forcing
aloft Friday night, and nearly the entire area remains in an
Marginal Risk. Instability will be waning, but there will be
enough shear that a few storms may remain organized into the
early morning hours of Saturday.

Any lingering activity clears by mid to late morning on
Saturday, and dry conditions are expected for the rest of the
daytime. In the post-frontal airmass, both temperatures and
dewpoints are expected to be roughly 10 degrees cooler than
Friday.

Another shot of showers and non-severe storms is expected late
Saturday night into Sunday thanks to a shortwave embedded within
the northwesterly flow aloft. Troughing over the eastern CONUS
will lead to a continued cooldown into early next week. Daily
highs in the upper 60s and 70s will be common Monday-Wednesday,
and morning lows are expected to be in the 50s for most
(possibly dipping into the 40s in typically cool spots). Off and
on chances for rain/storms continue. The best precip chances Sunday-
Wednesday will be as activity from eastern WY/CO propagates
southeastward each night and potentially clips our southwestern
zones.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 558 PM CDT Thu Aug 21 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

VFR conditions are forecast for both KEAR and KGRI through the
forecast period. The only sensible weather change of note will
be a cold front sagging through both airports about midday
Friday shifting winds to the northwest and eventually spilling a
mid-level cloud ceiling across the area. Until then, its SKC or
just a few clouds and a general southerly wind at the surface.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Mangels
AVIATION...NOAA/NWS/Moritz