759
FXUS63 KGID 292348
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
648 PM CDT Sat Aug 29 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Above normal temperatures expected to continue through all of
  next week with heat index values topping out near or slightly
  above 100 in spots again Sunday afternoon.

- Scattered showers/storms possible during the late evening-
  overnight hours tonight and again Sunday night as storms move
  in from the west. Wind gusts of 50 to 60 MPH will be possible
  with the strongest storms tonight.

- Additional (mainly small 10-30%) chances will continue across
  the local area next week, primarily favoring the evening and
  overnight hours each day.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 235 PM CDT Sat Aug 29 2026

A few morning showers impacted areas mainly east of Highway 281
this morning but have since pushed east with mostly sunny skies
and warm temperatures encompassing the entire forecast area. An
upper level disturbance in southwesterly flow aloft could impact
portions of the local area late this evening and into the
overnight hours, and increased pops some for tonight to put in
better agreement with the 18Z HRRR/other guidance. While severe
weather is not likely, these high based storms will be capable
of producing gusty winds, and the marginal risk for severe
weather was expanded to include areas mainly west of Highway 283
tonight. If realized, wind gusts of 50 to 60 mph will be
possible with the strongest storms. Otherwise, these storms
should be on the weakening trend as they cross the local area
overnight, bringing mainly scattered light precipitation to
parts of the local area.

For Sunday, another hot afternoon is in store for the local area
as the ridge of upper level high pressure persists across the
central/southern plains and southwesterly flow continues aloft.
This will once again result in afternoon heat index values
climbing to near - or slightly above 100 - especially across our
Kansas counties. At the same time, another round of nocturnal
convection will be possible, but the chance for severe or
widespread thunderstorms is not likely Sunday night. In fact,
this general weather pattern of above normal temperatures and
occasional, mainly small chances for thunderstorms is
anticipated to continue through much of next week with a return
to more seasonal/cooler temperatures not hinted at in ensemble
guidance until possibly the 2nd week of September.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 632 PM CDT Sat Aug 29 2026

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

A few thunderstorms will be in and around KEAR between 5-8z and
KGRI between 6-9z. Though a few of these storm may be strong
with gusty west/northwest winds briefly gusting up to around
40kts, the background winds should generally remain out of the
south to southwest with speeds maintaining between 5-15kts.
Directions could become more westerly immediately following the
passage of storms overnight, though directions should later
return back to their south to southwesterly orientation.

The presence of south to southwesterly LLWS will return tonight
(mainly between 4-12z) as the low-level jet speeds up across
central Nebraska. Winds at the surface, beyond the brief
influence of a storm, will be expected to gradually lighten with
a few brief periods of variable conditions Sunday morning to
early afternoon.

Cloud bases may drop as low as 10-15kft tonight with the broken
to overcast deck of clouds sweeping overhead tonight into Sunday
morning. Bases should generally raise and scatter out across the
afternoon Sunday. VFR conditions are expected to retain through
the period (70% chance).




&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Rossi
AVIATION...Stump