085
FXUS63 KGID 201134
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
634 AM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Chances for showers increase through the day Sunday. Areas may
  received a couple of hundredths to a few tenths of an inch of
  rain.

- Frost will be possible Sunday night into Monday morning as
  clearing skies and light winds allow temps to fall into the
  30s.

- Near-critical fire weather conditions are expected Monday
  afternoon for areas mainly along and west of Highway 281. A
  few localized areas may have a brief period of critical fire
  weather conditions.

- Expect a shift in the pattern heading into mid to late week.
  Daily chances for showers and thunderstorms are expected for
  at least a portion of the area.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 404 AM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

The forecast period begins with clouds continuing to move into the
region from the south. An upper level disturbance over the Oklahoma
panhandle will lift to the northeast through the day, reaching
southeastern Nebraska by this evening. Prior to sunrise, a few
isolated sprinkles or light showers will be possible, mainly in
north central Kansas and our far western counties in south
central Nebraska. By sunrise, rain chances will expand further
into south central Nebraska. through the day, chances will
increase, particularly for areas along and east of Highway 281.
Areas along and west of a line from Ord to Holdrege may miss out
on the rain chances for today. Any areas that are lucky enough
to receive rain may accumulate a couple of hundredths in the
west to a few tenths of an inch in the east.

Sunday night/Monday morning, temperatures will fall into the low to
mid-30s for most areas. Clouds will clear out of the region and
winds are expected to become light and variable. The combination of
light winds, cold temperatures and lack of cloud cover will result
in the potential for widespread frost. Those with sensitive plants
are encouraged to monitor the forecast and prepare for potential
issues.

Monday, zonal flow sets up as the departing disturbance moves out.
Expect a much warmer day with highs returning to the 70s for most
areas. A few low 80s will be possible for areas along and southwest
of a line from Elwood to Phillipsburg. Relative humidity values will
fall to around 15-25% in the afternoon. Wind gusts of 15-25 mph are
expected. The combination of dry conditions, warm temps and gusty
winds will result in near-critical fire weather conditions mainly
for areas along and west of Highway 281. A few isolated locations
may encounter a brief period of critical fire weather conditions.
Monday evening, a weak shortwave trough will move into the region,
bringing a 20-40% chance of showers to areas along and south of I-
80. Areas north will have a 30-50% chance of showers, with a few
isolated thunderstorms not out of the question in the evening.

Tuesday, the pattern shifts with flow being out of the
southwest. Afternoon high temperatures will be in the mid to
upper 70s. The change in the pattern will result in several
embedded shortwave troughs moving through the region. Periodic
showers and thunderstorms will be possible each day across at
least a portion of the area through the end of the forecast
period. High temperatures will be primarily in the 60s with lows
mainly in the 40s and 50s.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 631 AM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Showers are moving from south-southeast to north-northwest this
morning. Both terminals can expect showers to move into the area
over the next couple of hours, remaining through early to mid
afternoon. MVFR ceilings will improve to VFR as the storm system
moves out of the area late this afternoon into early evening.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Wekesser
AVIATION...Wekesser