705
FNUS75 KGGW 042144
FWSGGW

Spot Forecast for Flicker Fire...BLM LED
National Weather Service Glasgow MT
344 PM MDT Fri Jul 4 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1400 MDT on July 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service at (406) 228-9622.

.DISCUSSION...
Clouds will continue to increase this afternoon as a lifting warm
front moves through the area tonight. Initally, expect east or downslope
winds and dry conditions. Once the warm front arrives light rain showers
and isolated thunderstorms will begin around 7-9 PM. General winds will
stagnate or become shower driven with the arrival of showers this evening.
No wetting rains are expected with the first wave this evening or before
midnight. Showers may intensify breifly after midnight with the first wave
of rain exiting around 6-8 AM. A second wave of rain showers with wetting
rains is expected to arrive around 2-4PM Saturday afternoon and exit around
midnight. This second wave could lead to muddy roads in the area.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................3 percent.
Chance of thunder...8 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 10 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 21
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 14 to 17 mph.

TIME (MDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........13  27  40  45
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   10  10  10
Temp............82  84  85  85
RH..............31  28  26  25
20 FT wind dir..N   NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..11  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.16  14  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...5.1 5.6 6.0 6.3
Transp wind dir.N   N   NE  NE
Transp wind spd.15  15  17  14

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
                    the evening, then showers and chance of
                    thunderstorms overnight.
CWR.................3 percent increasing to 34 percent overnight.
Chance of thunder...32 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 9 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    east 6 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms overnight, then gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms after 3 am.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 20 mph.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........53  64  75  82  82  79  80  66  49  51  61  66
Weather cov.....        SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY DEF LKY CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   30  30  30  30  30  30
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  20  20  20  20  30  30  30  20  20  20
Temp............84  83  81  77  74  72  70  69  67  64  63  62
RH..............26  26  28  35  42  45  50  54  58  66  69  71
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  N   N   NE  N   NE  NE  E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..10  9   9   9   9   8   8   8   7   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.16  16  14  14  14  14  13  12  12  11  11  10
Mix hgt (kft)...6.4 5.6 3.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.7 1.4 1.2 0.9 0.8 1.0
Transp wind dir.E   E   NE  NE  NE  E   NE  E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.14  14  12  14  15  15  17  16  16  18  18  20

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    in the morning. Showers likely and chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................5 percent increasing to 59 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of thunder...29 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 7 mph shifting to the west
                    around 6 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 13 to 20 mph decreasing to around 9 mph
                    early in the afternoon, then shifting to the
                    north 10 to 13 mph late in the afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........79  62  62  69  47  47  42  77  58  37  81  81
Weather cov.....CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH         SCH SCH CHC LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW          RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                    CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  60  60  60  60  60  60
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  30  30  30
Temp............60  61  63  63  66  68  70  73  74  75  75  73
RH..............74  74  71  70  65  59  53  49  47  45  44  47
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  W   W
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.10  11  11  11  12  13  13  13  13  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.3 2.0 2.7 3.2 3.6 4.1 4.6 5.3 5.9 5.5 3.9
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NW  N   N   N
Transp wind spd.20  20  20  18  15  13  9   9   10  12  13  12

$$
Forecaster...HICKS
Requested by...Lewistown dispatch
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517345.0/GGW
.DELDT 07/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mtlec@firenet.gov