296
FNUS75 KGGW 060252
FWSGGW

Spot Forecast for Horseshoe Fire...BLM MCD
National Weather Service Glasgow MT
852 PM MDT Sat Jul 5 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2100 MDT on July 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service at (406) 228-9622.

.DISCUSSION...
A line of thunderstorms to the west of the wildfire is moving east
this evening. Expect the storms to move through the wildfire
location between 930pm and 11pm with wind gusts up to 50 mph,
frequent lightning, and brief heavy rain possible. The steadiest
storms are capable of over a quarter of an inch of rainfall.
Sunday looks to feature seasonable temperatures and drier weather
conditions overall as winds become westerly. There is a lone
evening chance for a thunderstorm Sunday evening but better
chances to the north.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent)then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the evening. Chance of
                    rain showers through the night. Slight chance
                    of thunderstorms overnight.
CWR.................16 percent decreasing to 6 percent overnight.
Chance of thunder...26 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 5 mph overnight, then becoming
                    light overnight. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms overnight.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 12 mph shifting to the west 7 to 10
                    mph overnight.

TIME (MDT)      9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........59  62  47  51  47  37  33  39  32
Weather cov.....CHC SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC SCH CHC SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).30  20  30  20  20  20  10  10  10
Temp............63  61  60  59  58  58  57  56  56
RH..............82  85  90  91  93  93  93  93  93
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  S   SW  SW  W   SW  W   W
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  8   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.SE  S   S   S   SW  W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.12  9   10  12  10  9   7   8   8

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
CWR.................2 percent.
Chance of thunder...6 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 7 mph, then
                    shifting to the northwest around 6 to 12 mph late
                    in the afternoon with gusts up to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......7100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........36  23  23  26  11  7   22  15  15  22  39  39
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  10  0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............55  59  61  64  69  71  74  76  77  79  80  80
RH..............93  85  75  67  58  52  45  41  37  35  34  33
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT wind spd..4   5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  11  11  12  13  13  14  14  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.1 1.8 2.6 3.8 4.6 5.7 6.1 6.7 7.1 7.0 6.9
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.10  12  13  13  13  12  13  15  15  15  15  12

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the evening. Slight
                    chance of rain showers through the night.
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of thunder...16 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
Max humidity........79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 6 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 10 mph shifting to the north 6
                    to 9 mph in the late evening and overnight.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........45  45  45  43  43  43  45  45  45  37  37  37
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............81  79  77  71  68  66  65  64  62  60  59  58
RH..............34  35  42  49  57  60  61  65  71  76  79  81
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   4   4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.12  12  12  8   8   8   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...6.7 5.0 2.2 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.W   W   NW  N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.10  10  7   8   9   8   6   6   8   9   9   8

$$
Forecaster...MALIAWCO
Requested by...Donovan Birch
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517416.0/GGW
.DELDT 07/05/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mtmcc@firenet.gov