178
FXUS65 KGGW 011051
AFDGGW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Glasgow MT
451 AM MDT Fri Aug 1 2025

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGES:

- Periodic shower and thunderstorm chances will continue into
  early next week. Some storms may be severe or produce heavy
  rain.

- Temperatures will continue to be near or slightly below normal.

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW:
A weak upper ridge over the west will break down into high
pressure over the desert southwest and a returned more active jet
over the northwest states. While the monsoonal moisture is cut
off, Pacific moisture in the southwest flow aloft and low level
moisture advection from the Gulf will provide plenty of moisture
for storms over the next week. Stronger storms will occur with
shortwaves moving through the region.

The suppressed ridge will also keep temperatures from rising too
much above normal.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:
Generally followed the NBM but models have moderate at best for
confidence on placement of showers & thunderstorms.

&&

.AVIATION...
Mainly VFR. There is moderate to high confidence all TAF sites
will experience scattered storms during the TAF period. Gusty
erratic winds and heavy rain is possible with these storms.


&&

.GGW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

weather.gov/glasgow