563
FNUS74 KFWD 111756
FWSFWD

Spot Forecast for Deer Stand RX...Parker Co. ESD#1
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1256 PM CDT Tue Mar 11 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on March 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Hot and dry conditions are expected on Wednesday as a dryline moves
toward the I-35 corridor during the afternoon. Winds will become
westerly and RH will drop to 15-20% with an increase in wind speeds
behind the dryline. Deep mixing will allow for excellent smoke
dispersion, but will also support intermittent wind gusts in excess
of 30 mph. These will be near critical fire weather conditions with any
fires increasingly resistant to initial attack suppression.


.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........15 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph becoming west
                    around 20 mph in the afternoon. Wind gusts in excess
of 30 mph will be possible.
Mixing height.......10200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 25 mph.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........0   0   0   10  10  10  20  20  40  40
Weather cov.....                                SCH SCH
Weather type....                                RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                SCH SCH
Temp............57  59  65  71  76  80  83  84  85  86
RH..............75  75  65  55  46  38  30  26  17  15
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
20 FT wind spd..10  10  12  13  14  15  17  20  22  22
20 FT wind gust.17  17  18  20  20  21  25  28  30  29
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.2 1.9 2.5 3.2 4.8 6.8 10  8.8
Transp wind dir.S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   SW
Transp wind spd.14  13  18  20  20  18  17  20  22  22

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 15 mph decreasing to around 5
                    mph overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 25 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........35     0      0      0      0      0
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC
Temp............84     77     68     65     61     57
RH..............17     19     27     29     33     37
20 ft wind......SW 20  W 13   SW 10  W 10   W 10   W 9
20 ft wind gust.26     20     17     16     16     15
Mix hgt (ft)....5700   1000   500    500    500    500
Transport wind..SW 23  W 20   SW 16  W 17   W 17   W 15

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........19 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.

$$

Forecaster...Dunn
Requested by...Grant Hall
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2505918.0/FWD
.DELDT 03/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ghall@pcesd1.com