Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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FNUS74 KFWD 201304
FWSFWD

Spot Forecast for Worth Ranch Unit 6...Texas A&M Forest Service
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
704 AM CST Wed Nov 20 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CST on November 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Sunny, dry, and cooler conditions will prevail today with breezy
north/northwest winds this morning. Wind speed around 10-20 mph
will continue through midday before they decrease to around 5 mph
this afternoon. The north winds will keep the high temperature in
the lower 60s. Winds will become light and variable tonight with a
low temperature in the upper 30s. Westerly/northwesterly winds
will continue on Thursday around 5-10 mph.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........21 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 15 mph early in the morning
                    becoming light late afternoon.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 18 mph decreasing to around 7 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   3   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............42  49  53  57  60  61  62  63  61  60
RH..............67  50  43  34  27  24  22  21  21  24
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW
20 FT wind spd..8   8   9   9   9   9   8   7   6   3
20 FT wind gust.15  16  17  17  16  16  15  13  10  7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.9 1.4 2.3 3.5 3.9 4.2 4.2 3.6 0.9
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.12  15  17  18  18  16  15  14  10  7
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Min temperature.....Around 37.
Max humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 3 to 6 mph shifting to the southwest
                    5 to 9 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Temp............56  50  48  45  44  43  42  40  40  39  38  37
RH..............28  36  39  45  47  49  53  57  59  62  62  64
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.6   6   3   3   5   6   5   7   8   9   9   8
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds early in the morning becoming west
                    5 to 6 mph, then shifting to the northwest
                    around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming
                    light.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 15 mph shifting to the northwest 5 to
                    9 mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   1   1   1   1   2   3   3   3   3   4   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............37  37  40  49  55  60  64  66  67  69  67  64
RH..............64  64  59  48  41  35  30  30  30  27  29  35
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  N
20 FT wind spd..2   3   3   5   6   6   7   7   7   6   5   3
20 FT wind gust.6   7   8   10  12  13  14  14  13  12  10  8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.2 2.7 2.9 3.0 2.1 1.2
Transp wind dir.SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  N
Transp wind spd.9   9   10  12  13  14  15  12  9   7   6   5
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5

$$
Forecaster...Sanchez
Requested by...Boe Adler
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2427055.0/FWD
.DELDT 11/20/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL badler@tfs.tamu.edu