592
FNUS74 KFWD 301642
FWSFWD

Spot Forecast for Burch Property Rx Burn...Denton Fire Department
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1142 AM CDT Wed Jul 30 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on July 31.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...OZONE ACTION DAY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

Winds at the start of ignition time will be light, around 5 mph
and generally out of the west. By noon, a weak frontal boundary
will sag south and stall out in proximity of the burn site. This
will result in winds becoming very light (less than 5 mph) with
highly variable wind directions. Temperatures tomorrow will also
be very hot, in the low 90s at ignition time, and increasing to
near 105 by the afternoon with heat indices up to 109. Lastly,
there is a low chance (10-15%) for a stray afternoon thunderstorm
after 3 PM. Any storm that can develop will bring a lightning
hazard and the potential for gusty and erratic downburst winds.


.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 105.
Min humidity........24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......10100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 7 mph.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........11  11  11  13  21  26  30  36
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH
Weather type....                        RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH
Temp............92  96  100 102 103 104 105 104
RH..............37  32  30  26  26  25  24  25
20 FT wind dir..NW  W   W   SW  S   S   S   SW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   5   6   6
20 FT wind gust.5   6   6   6   7   8   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 3.2 5.3 8.1 9.3 9.8 10  9.4
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.7   5   5   5   5   5   6   6

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 78.
Max humidity........81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 7 mph shifting to the
                    northeast 6 to 10 mph early in the evening,
                    then increasing to 13 to 17 mph in the late
                    evening and overnight.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........33     44     32     31     30     31
Weather cov.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Temp............103    98     89     85     81     80
RH..............26     35     51     62     71     77
20 ft wind......N 6    NE 6   NE 6   NE 6   NE 6   NE 6
20 ft wind gust.9      9      9      9      9      8
Mix hgt (ft)....8200   1900   600    500    700    800
Transport wind..NW 7   NE 6   NE 16  NE 16  NE 15  NE 14

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 96.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 8 to 13 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
Sky (%).........45           43           44
Weather cov.....                          S CHC
Weather type....NONE         NONE         RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                          S CHC
Temp............79           84           93
RH..............80           71           55
20 FT wind......NE 6G9       NE 7G10      NE 7G12
Mix hgt (ft)....700          2200         6000
Transport wind..NE 13        NE 10        N 8

$$
Forecaster...Darrah
Requested by...David Boots
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2518467.0/FWD
.DELDT 07/30/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL david.boots@cityofdenton.com