Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
561 FXUS64 KFWD 091049 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 549 AM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Warmer and mostly rain-free weather will continue for the majority of this week with heat index values in the upper 90s to around 103 degrees each afternoon. - Isolated rain showers are possible in parts of the Brazos Valley and Central Texas Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons with coverage of around 10-15%. - Chances for scattered showers and storms will resume from late Friday into the upcoming weekend. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Wednesday) Issued at 1230 AM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026 North and Central Texas will remain on the periphery of a 590-592 dam ridge through the short-term forecast period. This will allow breezy south winds and hot, muggy conditions to continue through at least Wednesday. Expect a low stratus intrusion late tonight into Tuesday morning and again Tuesday night into Wednesday morning with overnight lows in the low to mid 70s. Clouds will scatter and clear by early afternoon each day with highs approaching the low to mid 90s both Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons. Many locations reached or exceeded heat index values of 105 degrees Monday afternoon. Surface dewpoints are expected to be a bit lower Tuesday afternoon and will likely keep most locations from reaching/exceeding heat indices of 105 degrees again (would necessitate a Heat Advisory if this were to occur). Nonetheless, many locations will likely approach heat indices near 100 degrees, so do take caution if you plan on being outside for prolonged periods of time this afternoon. Seabreeze shower/storm activity will make a run for our Brazos Valley counties both Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons as well. Any lingering precipitation will quickly diminish after sunset each evening. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday Night and Beyond) Issued at 1230 AM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026 Thursday will feature more hot and mostly rain-free conditions. However, by Thursday night, troughing over the Central Plains will begin to break down and weaken the ridge over North Texas allowing a cold front to approach the Red River Valley by Friday morning. This boundary will likely provide a focus for scattered showers and thunderstorms, primarily north of I-20, through Friday afternoon (30-50% chance). Forecasted QPF through Friday remains fairly minimal at this time, but a few locations may pick up a quick 0.5-1" of rain near the Red River early Friday. Beyond Friday, model guidance continues to highlight a shift to a more active weather pattern Sunday into early next week that will bring multiple chances for rain, potentially heavy rainfall. Keep your eye on the forecast through the week, especially if you have outdoor plans during the upcoming weekend. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 550 AM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026 A BKN deck of MVFR stratus at 1-2 kft now overspreads much of North and Central Texas. Expect intermittent MVFR to prevail through 15Z-16Z this morning, lifting and scattering to VFR status by midday. VFR will then prevail through much of the TAF period with south winds at 10-15 kts gusting to 20 kts at times. Isolated seabreeze showers/storms will make a run for the Brazos Valley and parts of Central Texas later this afternoon but should largely stay south and southeast of KACT. Another round of MVFR stratus is expected to sprawl across the region by 09Z-10Z early Wednesday morning toward the end of this TAF period. && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 93 77 94 78 / 0 0 0 0 Waco 91 75 92 77 / 0 0 10 0 Paris 91 75 91 78 / 0 0 0 0 Denton 92 77 93 79 / 0 0 0 0 McKinney 91 77 93 78 / 0 0 0 0 Dallas 94 78 95 79 / 0 0 0 0 Terrell 92 76 93 77 / 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 94 76 95 77 / 0 0 0 0 Temple 92 75 92 76 / 0 0 10 0 Mineral Wells 93 74 95 77 / 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Langfeld LONG TERM....Langfeld AVIATION...Langfeld